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Harding

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Harding
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1185 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1252 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1202 (#16) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +19.7 (#22) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +20.4 (#85) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.858 (#27) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.9 More → 0.816 (#172) NetEff +11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.0 More → 0.979 (#10) AdjNet +33.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.6 More → 0.981 (#10) AdjNet +33.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.5 More → 0.879 (#9) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 54.2 More → 0.732 (#61) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 54.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.870 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1358 (#8) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Tampa W 69 - 66
2025-11-08 @ Texas Woman's W 75 - 59
2025-11-18 vs Cameron W 77 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Missouri Western W 86 - 71
2025-11-24 @ Central Okla. W 61 - 51
2025-11-29 vs Delta St. W 64 - 49
2025-12-04 vs Southwestern Okla. W 73 - 62
2025-12-06 vs Northwestern Okla. L 57 - 65
2025-12-09 @ Ark.-Monticello W 86 - 64
2025-12-13 vs Henderson St. L 66 - 69
2026-01-03 vs Southern Ark. W 53 - 52
2026-01-10 @ Okla. Baptist W 74 - 72
2026-01-15 vs Southeastern Okla. W 81 - 69
2026-01-17 vs East Central W 59 - 52
2026-01-22 @ Arkansas Tech - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Northwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Southwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Okla. Baptist W 69 - 40
2026-02-07 vs Southern Nazarene W 50 - 47
2026-02-09 vs Ouachita Baptist W 94 - 77
2026-02-12 vs Arkansas Tech W 72 - 50
2026-02-14 @ Southern Ark. W 63 - 57
2026-02-19 @ East Central W 68 - 55
2026-02-21 @ Southeastern Okla. L 65 - 75
2026-02-26 vs Ark.-Monticello W 82 - 48
2026-02-28 @ Henderson St. L 75 - 77
2026-03-05 @ Southern Nazarene L 59 - 67
2026-03-07 vs Southeastern Okla. L 64 - 67
2026-03-13 @ Fort Hays St. L 82 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Halyn Browning - 1 30.0 16.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 13.0 - - - - 42.9 40.0 0.0 -0.97 55.4 57.1
Josie Williams - 28 35.6 13.3 5.2 3.6 1.4 0.1 1.6 11.1 10.9 192 27 7.1 8.1 43.9 36.8 80.0 2.79 53.2 48.4
Maddi Holt - 28 31.3 11.1 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 8.6 6.4 139 27 5.1 6.7 41.3 43.5 87.7 0.92 57.5 52.5
Shannon Burton - 1 21.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.77 50.6 50.0
Kori Sanders - 28 38.0 10.5 4.9 4.9 2.3 0.2 2.4 9.1 11.4 168 27 6.2 6.7 37.4 32.5 77.1 -1.01 50.8 45.5
Kennedy Stout - 28 27.2 10.4 5.8 1.3 0.7 2.1 1.5 10.1 8.7 169 27 6.3 9.3 40.6 17.4 75.7 2.22 46.0 41.3
Allie Rehl - 28 22.4 9.4 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.4 1.1 6.9 7.6 178 27 6.6 11.7 46.1 42.9 77.6 6.3 58.3 53.1
Hannah Duncan - 1 25.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 25.0 75.0 -0.9 51.5 41.7
Jordan Hoffman - 1 31.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 - - - - 75.0 0 100.0 -1.72 82.0 75.0
Alli McAda - 28 20.8 7.9 5.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.5 7.9 5.2 101 27 3.7 7.4 38.3 29.6 72.4 1.79 46.9 44.8
Carley Gasaway - 1 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 - - - - 28.6 28.6 0 -0.66 42.9 42.9
Boston Berry - 1 19.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 - - - - 25.0 50.0 100.0 -0.49 51.2 37.5
Jalisa Walker - 5 12.6 4.0 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 3.6 2.8 - - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.08 50.6 44.4
Jillian Crawford - 1 28.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -3.0 - - - - 28.6 0.0 0.0 -2.09 25.4 28.6
Myiah Butler - 28 12.7 3.9 3.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 2.9 4.9 25 27 0.9 3.1 48.1 0 76.9 -1.75 55.0 48.1
Amelia Rogers - 27 6.6 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.1 16 26 0.6 3.6 45.2 36.4 76.5 -0.32 58.5 51.6
Laykin Moore - 18 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.6 -8 14 -0.6 -4.3 26.9 25.0 75.0 -2.25 39.0 32.7
Lexi Mackey - 1 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.4 56.8 0
Kinley Hammitt - 8 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 -12 6 -2.0 -42.5 50.0 0 50.0 -2.7 52.1 50.0
Katelyn Kabrich - 10 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -7 7 -1.0 -14.5 100.0 0 100.0 -1.86 106.4 100.0
Jena Bay - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 0.58 0 0
Mia Singstock - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kezia Grant-Bobb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Braci Nyberg - 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.85 0.0 0.0
Ella Nietz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hannah Weston - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keeley Chaddick - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Silvia Otokhagua - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nessa Begay - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.12 0.0 0.0
Rachel Perkins - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG