🐻⬇️🏀

Hanover

Season:
Also known as: Hanover
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1029 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 997 (#459) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.9 (#97) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +3.1 (#318) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.802 (#307) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.7 More → 0.838 (#201) NetEff +11.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.0 More → 0.863 (#232) AdjNet +16.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.9 More → 0.866 (#233) AdjNet +15.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.702 (#235) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 61.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.586 (#248) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 59.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.583 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.582 (#309) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 977 (#342) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.