Hannibal-La Grange
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#414) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 855 (#478) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 963 (#538) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -42.5 (#680) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#737) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#511) | NetEff -68.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#754) | AdjNet -65.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#748) | AdjNet -63.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.021 (#752) | AdjO 42.2 | AdjD 84.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.200 (#664) | AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.040 (#688) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.055 (#686) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 837 (#444) | RD 347 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 32 - 89 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 41 - 82 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Southwest Baptist | L | 47 - 101 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivy Lesley | - | 3 | 28.5 | 16.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 13.7 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 41.5 | 29.4 | 40.9 | - | 47.4 | 47.6 |
| Ainsley Diepenbrock | - | 3 | 30.9 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 28.6 | 80.0 | - | 55.1 | 47.6 |
| Mykaela Elliott | - | 3 | 21.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.2 | 27.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 5.39 | 36.2 | 33.3 |
| Ayden Lippincott | - | 3 | 21.4 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 22.2 | 50.0 | - | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Zady Gundry | - | 3 | 24.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Candice Dowell | - | 3 | 32.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 4.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 7.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 14.4 | 7.7 |
| Abby White | - | 3 | 23.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 113 | 4.9 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.14 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Hannah Neese | - | 3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aaliyah Welch | - | 3 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG