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Hannibal-La Grange

Also known as: Hannibal-La Grange
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#414) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 855 (#478) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 963 (#538) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -42.5 (#680) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#737) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -68.7 More → 0.000 (#511) NetEff -68.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -65.5 More → 0.000 (#754) AdjNet -65.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -63.6 More → 0.000 (#748) AdjNet -63.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 42.2 | AdjD 84.6 More → 0.021 (#752) AdjO 42.2 | AdjD 84.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.200 (#664) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.040 (#688) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.055 (#686) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 347 | GP 3 More → 837 (#444) RD 347 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Maryville (MO) L 32 - 89
2025-11-21 @ Rockhurst L 41 - 82
2025-11-25 @ Southwest Baptist L 47 - 101

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ivy Lesley - 3 28.5 16.0 4.7 1.7 0.7 0.7 3.3 13.7 6.7 - - - 41.5 29.4 40.9 - 47.4 47.6
Ainsley Diepenbrock - 3 30.9 9.3 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.3 7.0 1.7 - - - 42.9 28.6 80.0 - 55.1 47.6
Mykaela Elliott - 3 21.4 4.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 6.0 1.3 -75 -3.3 -17.2 27.8 33.3 66.7 5.39 36.2 33.3
Ayden Lippincott - 3 21.4 4.0 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 2.3 4.7 0.0 - - - 28.6 22.2 50.0 - 38.1 35.7
Zady Gundry - 3 24.4 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 4.0 0.7 - - - 41.7 0.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Candice Dowell - 3 32.7 1.3 3.0 1.7 1.7 0.0 3.7 4.3 -0.3 - - - 7.7 0.0 100.0 - 14.4 7.7
Abby White - 3 23.3 1.3 4.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 5.3 0.0 113 4.9 25.5 12.5 0.0 0 3.14 12.5 12.5
Hannah Neese - 3 5.9 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aaliyah Welch - 3 6.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG