🐻⬇️🏀

Hannibal-La Grange

Also known as: Hannibal-La Grange
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 863 (#484) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 966 (#446) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -21.0 (#533) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.004 (#687) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -30.8 More → 0.028 (#704) AdjNet -30.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -30.6 More → 0.025 (#704) AdjNet -30.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 78.6 More → 0.155 (#667) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 78.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.329 (#519) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.146 (#563) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.165 (#562) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 844 (#428) RD 350 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-17 @ Lincoln (MO) L 44 - 69
2025-11-19 @ Quincy L 51 - 83
2025-11-21 @ McKendree L 39 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Cross - 3 28.4 10.7 4.7 1.7 0.7 1.0 2.7 11.7 4.3 - - - 22.9 15.4 70.0 - 36.5 25.7
Josh Talton - 3 26.1 8.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.7 8.7 0.7 - - - 30.8 0.0 66.7 - 39.9 30.8
Ignacio Diaz - 3 14.6 3.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.7 0.3 - - - 27.3 50.0 66.7 - 40.6 36.4
Braylon Diggs - 3 27.6 3.3 4.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.7 2.3 5.7 - - - 57.1 0 100.0 - 63.5 57.1
Josiah Talton - 3 24.0 3.3 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.7 1.7 - - - 21.4 20.0 66.7 - 32.6 28.6
Malakai Munoz - 3 14.6 2.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 0.7 - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 44.4 35.7
Toby Ford - 3 10.7 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.3 -1.0 - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Christian Gonzalez - 2 6.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG