Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1061 (#115) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1037 (#178) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.0 (#139) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.936 (#166) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.954 (#106) | NetEff +23.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.873 (#227) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.876 (#230) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.718 (#241) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.673 (#100) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.770 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.757 (#132) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Livingstone | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Edward Waters | W | 65 - 47 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiarra Mcelrath | - | 2 | 28.2 | 18.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 38.9 | 100.0 | - | 59.1 | 58.3 |
| Olivia Smith | - | 2 | 17.7 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 52.2 | 43.8 |
| Kayla Lezama | - | 2 | 21.6 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | - | 43.9 | 41.2 |
| Aaryn Battle | - | 2 | 31.1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 45.4 | 34.6 |
| Tyra Kennedy | - | 2 | 21.9 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 50.4 | 46.2 |
| Le'Asia Foreman | - | 2 | 29.4 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 67.8 | 66.7 |
| Akilah Shelton | - | 2 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 48.8 | 50.0 |
| Tiani Abrams | - | 1 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Kiya Dorroh | - | 2 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 90.4 | 100.0 |
| Aisha Dabo | - | 2 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 51.0 | 60.0 |
| Taylor Gibson | - | 2 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Janaye Walker | - | 1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Arlisha Boston | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG