Grove City
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1099 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1058 (#224) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1012 (#356) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#208) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.8 (#471) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.648 (#380) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.721 (#271) | NetEff +6.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.515 (#378) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.507 (#378) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#376) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.460 (#450) | AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#429) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#423) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1023 (#278) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Carlow | W | 84 - 31 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Mount Union | L | 44 - 89 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 86 - 49 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Kenyon | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Geneva | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 70 - 43 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Franciscan | W | 61 - 33 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Allegheny | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 62 - 37 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Chatham | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Thiel | W | 58 - 39 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Hiram | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Geneva | W | 94 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bethany (WV) | L | 71 - 81 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Sherrerd | - | 16 | 25.3 | 14.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 45 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 55.1 | 28.6 | 74.0 | 2.2 | 58.8 | 55.6 |
| Sierra Fonseca | - | 1 | 40.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 18.5 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 24.1 | 24.1 |
| Maddy Terry | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 57.1 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Reese Hasley | - | 17 | 28.8 | 11.9 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 69 | 3.6 | 14.4 | 40.0 | 27.6 | 82.9 | 3.83 | 48.5 | 44.2 |
| Jaiden Sharrow | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 55.7 | 55.6 |
| Ella Dawson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Alexis Hudson | - | 16 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 25 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 40.4 | 31.1 | 70.4 | -0.44 | 49.7 | 46.5 |
| Brooke McCoy | - | 17 | 14.3 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 3.4 | -18 | -0.9 | -9.0 | 42.7 | 37.5 | 73.7 | 0.67 | 53.9 | 51.1 |
| Janayla Franklin | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 33.8 | 37.5 |
| Emilee Klacking | - | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 26.5 | 15.0 |
| Alexa McDole | - | 17 | 20.9 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 55 | 2.6 | 17.4 | 31.4 | 25.7 | 55.6 | -3.68 | 40.2 | 39.4 |
| Kailey Devlin | - | 14 | 21.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 68 | 4.2 | 17.8 | 38.7 | 34.6 | 75.0 | -0.7 | 50.8 | 46.0 |
| Bethany Thompson | - | 11 | 17.9 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 17 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 34.5 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 1.29 | 42.3 | 38.2 |
| Emma Ulmer | - | 17 | 12.2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 66 | 3.5 | 34.9 | 46.9 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -1.12 | 49.3 | 46.9 |
| Hali Butkovich | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kate Kline | - | 15 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.6 | -41 | -2.6 | -36.9 | 25.5 | 17.2 | 60.6 | -0.22 | 38.1 | 30.0 |
| Emily King | - | 12 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | -5 | -0.3 | -16.5 | 35.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.53 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Sarah Pifer | - | 17 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 49 | 2.6 | 32.9 | 28.9 | 25.8 | 100.0 | 4.19 | 42.8 | 39.5 |
| Tori Walling | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Katie Hoff | - | 13 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | -45 | -3.5 | -228.3 | 61.5 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.15 | 63.6 | 61.5 |
| Josey Fortuna | - | 14 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.1 | -7 | -0.4 | -20.0 | 14.7 | 13.3 | 40.9 | 0.88 | 24.0 | 17.6 |
| Haley Mach | - | 17 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | -19 | -1.0 | -15.4 | 23.7 | 5.0 | 33.3 | -1.62 | 25.4 | 25.0 |
| Anna Novelli | - | 11 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -42 | -3.8 | -56.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| JosMary Vazquez | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.7 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sanyah Gloster-Earl | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nevaeh Mancha | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG