Grinnell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1191 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1134 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1164 (#39) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#41) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.3 (#257) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.839 (#279) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.558 (#334) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.500 (#349) | AdjNet -0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.585 (#299) | AdjO 102.9 | AdjD 99.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.759 (#55) | AdjO 94.7 | AdjD 82.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.700 (#206) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.713 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1245 (#35) | RD 117 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 102 - 74 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Greenville | W | 161 - 130 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Macalester | L | 114 - 126 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wartburg | L | 116 - 129 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Principia | W | 141 - 76 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Beloit | W | 104 - 88 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Dayspring Bible | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Cornell College | W | 94 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 92 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ripon | W | 104 - 95 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | La Verne | W | 104 - 76 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Occidental | W | 98 - 89 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lawrence | W | 96 - 74 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 82 - 94 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ripon | W | 109 - 71 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Knox | W | 98 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 110 - 96 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Beloit | W | 98 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lawrence | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 2 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas | - | 1 | 30.7 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 112 | 5.1 | 27.1 | 72.2 | 75.0 | 71.4 | 0.5 | 87.8 | 88.9 |
| Gabe Garcia | - | 18 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 12 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 47.8 | 27.3 | 70.4 | -0.5 | 58.4 | 51.1 |
| Zay Brown | - | 1 | 28.3 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 120 | 5.5 | 24.5 | 58.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.61 | 58.2 | 58.3 |
| Kai Te Huki | - | 18 | 16.3 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 11.3 | 5.7 | 159 | 8.4 | 70.2 | 39.2 | 27.4 | 67.9 | 1.38 | 50.3 | 47.1 |
| Zach Rosen | - | 18 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 187 | 9.8 | 78.9 | 37.4 | 27.3 | 70.5 | 2.96 | 52.3 | 43.9 |
| Sean Murphy | - | 18 | 15.5 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 144 | 4.8 | 61.9 | 42.5 | 41.2 | 93.1 | 1.77 | 65.8 | 61.8 |
| Nick Lundy | - | 18 | 12.6 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 7.1 | 108 | 5.7 | 63.3 | 56.9 | 30.6 | 64.0 | -1.83 | 62.9 | 61.9 |
| Tyler Copes | - | 18 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 10.8 | 109 | 5.7 | 63.8 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 54.8 | 3.54 | 66.6 | 67.2 |
| Max Maring | - | 1 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 57 | 2.5 | 17.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Jason Huber | - | 1 | 25.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 118 | 5.4 | 33.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 2.36 | 63.0 | 50.0 |
| Julian Samuels | - | 1 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 14 | 2.3 | 24.5 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.32 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kingzten Bristol | - | 18 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 92 | 4.8 | 58.7 | 36.8 | 25.0 | 62.9 | 0.27 | 48.3 | 44.3 |
| John Vincent | - | 17 | 11.8 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 55.6 | -0.98 | 72.8 | 75.0 |
| Tanner Deal | - | 18 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 17 | 0.9 | 14.1 | 42.9 | 43.1 | 66.7 | -1.41 | 63.1 | 62.9 |
| Strahinja Nikolic | - | 18 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 113 | 5.9 | 105.6 | 44.1 | 31.8 | 86.7 | 0.84 | 58.3 | 54.4 |
| Nick Courtney | - | 18 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 9.4 | 136 | 7.2 | 78.1 | 53.7 | 18.2 | 57.1 | 3.51 | 57.9 | 55.6 |
| Jacques Godard | - | 9 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 40 | 4.4 | 137.5 | 31.4 | 27.6 | 83.3 | -0.2 | 49.7 | 42.9 |
| Luka Pinto | - | 18 | 11.9 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 9 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 42.0 | 21.7 | 66.7 | 0.23 | 48.8 | 45.7 |
| Turner Plumer | - | 1 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 38 | 4.2 | 40.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ryken Howard | - | 1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Aidan Wiley | - | 18 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 51 | 2.7 | 62.3 | 44.7 | 43.8 | 83.3 | -1.28 | 65.2 | 63.2 |
| Sean Walser | - | 18 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 79 | 4.2 | 68.3 | 31.4 | 12.0 | 75.0 | 0.53 | 39.1 | 34.3 |
| Carson DeBruhl | - | 12 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 27 | 2.1 | 44.3 | 31.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 40.2 | 39.7 |
| Kamran Banks | - | 1 | 11.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Jase Whiteman | - | 1 | 18.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | -35 | -1.7 | -15.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.41 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| John O'Leary | - | 12 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 30 | 2.5 | 210.5 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 70.6 | 67.9 |
| Kyle Taylor | - | 1 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 114 | 5.2 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.07 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Connor Watson | - | 1 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -0.7 | -9.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Davis Currie | - | 8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 13 | 1.9 | 251.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Brady Schuettpelz | - | 11 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 17 | 1.7 | 241.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brock Card | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.8 | 44.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Payton Crims | - | 1 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 1.5 | 26.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Meyer | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG