Greensboro Swarm
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 922 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1008 (#14) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#17) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.471 (#17) | - |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-02 | @ | WIS | W | 114 - 98 |
| 2018-11-03 | @ | CAP | W | 107 - 105 |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | GRD | W | 115 - 113 |
| 2018-11-16 | @ | LAK | L | 89 - 102 |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | LAK | W | 107 - 99 |
| 2018-11-21 | vs | AUS | L | 95 - 102 |
| 2018-11-23 | vs | ERI | L | 116 - 133 |
| 2018-11-24 | vs | RAP | L | 100 - 107 |
| 2018-11-27 | @ | LIN | L | 118 - 129 |
| 2018-11-30 | vs | LIN | L | 114 - 118 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | WES | L | 99 - 110 |
| 2018-12-04 | @ | ERI | L | 112 - 125 |
| 2018-12-07 | vs | SLC | W | 126 - 115 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | DEL | W | 121 - 115 |
| 2018-12-12 | vs | WIS | W | 140 - 117 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | CTN | W | 115 - 112 |
| 2018-12-20 | @ | SBL | W | 106 - 90 |
| 2018-12-22 | vs | RGV | L | 103 - 109 |
| 2018-12-27 | vs | MNE | W | 109 - 95 |
| 2018-12-30 | @ | FWN | W | 110 - 104 |
| 2019-01-01 | @ | WCB | L | 103 - 117 |
| 2019-01-04 | vs | LAK | L | 107 - 117 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | DEL | L | 86 - 108 |
| 2019-01-10 | vs | CAP | L | 117 - 130 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | WCB | W | 120 - 96 |
| 2019-01-17 | vs | RAP | L | 117 - 119 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | RAP | L | 103 - 109 |
| 2019-01-21 | vs | CTN | L | 96 - 121 |
| 2019-01-25 | @ | LAK | W | 106 - 98 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | DEL | W | 110 - 105 |
| 2019-02-01 | @ | MNE | W | 109 - 104 |
| 2019-02-03 | @ | WES | W | 98 - 96 |
| 2019-02-05 | @ | ERI | W | 114 - 101 |
| 2019-02-07 | vs | MNE | L | 98 - 121 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | ERI | W | 112 - 110 |
| 2019-02-12 | @ | GRD | W | 118 - 117 |
| 2019-02-14 | @ | GRD | L | 96 - 104 |
| 2019-02-20 | @ | CTN | L | 94 - 96 |
| 2019-02-22 | @ | CAP | L | 108 - 111 |
| 2019-02-24 | @ | WIS | W | 107 - 105 |
| 2019-02-28 | vs | WES | W | 122 - 116 |
| 2019-03-02 | vs | LIN | L | 114 - 115 |
| 2019-03-05 | vs | CAP | W | 139 - 125 |
| 2019-03-09 | vs | WCB | L | 107 - 113 |
| 2019-03-13 | @ | SCW | L | 97 - 101 |
| 2019-03-15 | @ | NAS | W | 100 - 92 |
| 2019-03-17 | @ | STO | L | 116 - 118 |
| 2019-03-19 | @ | ACC | L | 105 - 115 |
| 2019-03-21 | vs | FWN | L | 115 - 127 |
| 2019-03-23 | vs | TEX | W | 107 - 97 |
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham | G | 13 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 18.3 | 13.2 | - | - | - | 43.7 | 38.3 | 79.3 | - | 57.5 | 54.0 |
| Dwayne Bacon | G | 17 | 0.0 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 20.3 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 40.9 | 25.2 | 81.2 | - | 49.4 | 44.8 |
| Jaylen Barford | G | 47 | 0.0 | 17.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 43.7 | 33.8 | 78.6 | - | 52.0 | 49.5 |
| J.P. Macura | G | 30 | 0.0 | 16.4 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 12.9 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 45.6 | 36.4 | 78.3 | - | 57.7 | 54.4 |
| Joe Chealey | G | 43 | 0.0 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 12.8 | 11.4 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 33.3 | 77.3 | - | 54.2 | 48.1 |
| Chinanu Onuaku | F | 44 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 11.0 | 18.4 | - | - | - | 50.8 | 16.0 | 64.4 | - | 54.6 | 51.7 |
| John Gillon | G | 10 | 0.0 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 8.3 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 38.2 | 85.7 | - | 58.6 | 50.0 |
| Cat Barber | G | 27 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 23.9 | 54.6 | - | 46.0 | 43.1 |
| Tyler Nelson | - | 36 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 42.7 | 81.4 | - | 61.4 | 58.8 |
| Roscoe Smith | F | 23 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 28.1 | 70.4 | - | 50.6 | 48.5 |
| Sam Thompson | G | 49 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 28.1 | 76.9 | - | 49.8 | 47.9 |
| Malik Pope | - | 20 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 29.5 | 74.2 | - | 49.4 | 45.5 |
| Luke Petrasek | G | 41 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 47.3 | 40.5 | 76.2 | - | 60.1 | 58.9 |
| Zach Smith | F | 44 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 8.9 | - | - | - | 59.9 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 60.0 | 60.5 |
| Isaiah Wilkins | F | 48 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 34.7 | 76.9 | - | 53.2 | 51.1 |
| John Dawson | - | 29 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 35.2 | 37.1 | 50.0 | - | 48.0 | 47.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG