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2018-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd Greensboro Swarm Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Greensboro Swarm +23 (140-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vander Blue * 36 2-10 0-5 2-2 4 6 1 0 3 6 4 -
Travis Trice II * 33 6-15 2-8 2-2 2 10 3 0 1 16 15 -
Christian Wood * 31 12-22 0-4 10-12 12 2 0 2 2 34 26 -
D.J. Wilson * 30 5-12 4-8 0-2 6 1 2 0 1 14 10 -
James Young * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Trevon Duval 31 7-15 1-4 1-1 5 3 1 0 0 16 10 -
Robert Johnson 31 4-8 4-7 1-2 3 5 2 0 0 13 15 -
Michael Qualls 20 3-4 1-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 8 11 -
Brandon McCoy 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 8 -
Kanellos Garbis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Barnett 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Mareik Isom 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Greensboro Swarm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 33 7-18 6-13 0-0 7 11 0 0 0 20 20 -
Dwayne Bacon * 29 8-14 4-10 1-2 7 10 1 0 3 21 22 -
Chinanu Onuaku * 28 9-11 1-2 1-6 20 5 1 0 3 20 32 -
J.P. Macura * 21 4-9 3-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 11 10 -
Luke Petrasek * 19 2-9 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
Joe Chealey 23 6-8 3-4 4-6 0 4 0 0 4 19 11 -
Roscoe Smith 20 3-6 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
Zach Smith 19 3-3 0-0 0-1 10 2 1 1 0 6 17 -
Jaylen Barford 19 11-20 7-10 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 31 14 -
Isaiah Wilkins 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
Sam Thompson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter