🐻⬇️🏀

Green Bay

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Green Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1016 (#316) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +44.2 (#39) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#98) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +69.1 More → 1.000 (#41) NetEff +69.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +74.1 More → 1.000 (#8) AdjNet +74.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +73.8 More → 1.000 (#16) AdjNet +73.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 40.2 More → 0.982 (#26) AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 40.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 56.2 More → 0.696 (#129) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 56.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.967 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.947 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Wis.-Stevens Point - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.