Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1028 (#328) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#500) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.1 (#318) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.983 (#192) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.912 (#172) | AdjNet +20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.912 (#174) | AdjNet +19.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.775 (#189) | AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.540 (#317) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#334) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.569 (#340) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 991 (#372) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Douglas Jr. | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -11 | -5.5 | -24.1 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 59.3 | 60.0 |
| Marcus Hall | - | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.0 | 100.0 |
| Noah Reynolds | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 94.0 | 87.5 |
| Elijah Jones | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.7 | 80.0 |
| Foster Wonders | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 37.5 | 0 | - | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Preston Ruedinger | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ryan Wade | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jacob Antchak | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Clarence Cummings III | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rich Byhre | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Will Eames | - | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Matt Blanton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Garret Dutro | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amari Jedkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mac Wrecke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG