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Green Bay

Also known as: Green Bay Phoenix, Green Bay
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

77.3
PPG
52.0
Opp
+25.3
Margin
50.3%
FG%
48.9%
3P%
77.4%
FT%
37.0
RPG
19.3
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.3
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#128
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1088 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1022 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1008 (#164) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +2.6 (#128) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +2.2 (#133) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.586 (#125) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.615 (#132) AdjNet +4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.616 (#132) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.555 (#128) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.533 (#134) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.574 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.570 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1045 (#137) RD 119 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Chicago State Cougars W 72 - 67
2012-11-16 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 66 - 54
2012-11-17 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 69 - 71
2012-11-18 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 82 - 93
2012-11-20 @ Idaho Vandals L 62 - 72
2012-11-24 vs North Dakota State Bison W 74 - 59
2012-12-01 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 51 - 67
2012-12-06 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 68 - 74
2012-12-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 54 - 65
2012-12-15 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 70 - 72
2012-12-19 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 49 - 47
2012-12-22 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 72 - 55
2012-12-30 vs Illinois-Springfield Prairie Stars W 84 - 43
2013-01-03 @ Wright State Raiders L 53 - 64
2013-01-05 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 76 - 84
2013-01-09 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 58 - 45
2013-01-12 vs UIC Flames W 53 - 47
2013-01-17 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 67 - 58
2013-01-19 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 77 - 50
2013-01-23 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 61 - 73
2013-01-25 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 74 - 54
2013-01-31 @ UIC Flames L 57 - 60
2013-02-02 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 73 - 65
2013-02-07 vs Wright State Raiders L 68 - 70
2013-02-09 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 68 - 59
2013-02-15 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 66 - 59
2013-02-17 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 71 - 54
2013-02-23 @ Drake Bulldogs L 54 - 71
2013-02-26 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 78 - 61
2013-03-02 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 56 - 75
2013-03-05 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 62 - 46
2013-03-08 vs UIC Flames W 64 - 63
2013-03-09 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 69 - 70
2013-03-20 @ Bradley Braves L 69 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keifer Sykes Keifer Sykes G 34 34.6 15.9 3.3 4.3 1.1 0.1 2.5 2.2 20.0 56 26 2.2 2.7 44.0 30.8 73.3 2.25 307.3 46.7
Alec Brown Alec Brown F 34 30.6 14.1 6.0 1.2 0.6 1.7 2.6 2.3 18.7 8 26 0.3 0.4 51.9 46.2 85.2 -0.07 263.5 55.7
Brennan Cougill Brennan Cougill F-C 30 21.6 9.0 5.3 1.6 0.5 0.6 2.1 1.3 13.5 30 24 1.2 2.6 48.7 30.8 81.2 1.36 292.1 53.8
Jordan Fouse Jordan Fouse G 34 29.3 6.8 7.9 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.6 0.9 17.2 -31 26 -1.2 -1.8 43.3 0 50.0 -4.12 335.8 43.3
Greg Mays Greg Mays F 31 20.3 6.5 4.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.5 11.0 10 24 0.4 0.9 47.1 0 75.0 0.46 489.8 47.1
Ken Cerroni Ken Cerroni G 23 22.0 6.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.5 51 16 3.2 5.9 34.8 40.0 88.9 1.85 259.6 47.8
Sultan Muhammad Sultan Muhammad G 34 23.4 5.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.1 0.9 7.9 28 26 1.1 2.0 48.3 47.8 33.3 0.11 319.9 67.2
Cole Stefan Cole Stefan G 19 13.9 3.4 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.5 4.7 0 14 0.0 0.0 30.0 28.6 50.0 -1.45 294.1 40.0
Carrington Love Carrington Love G 34 15.8 2.6 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.4 4.7 -41 26 -1.6 -4.9 26.7 0.0 66.7 -3.03 255.1 26.7
Daniel Turner Daniel Turner F 13 12.2 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 0.5 2.8 2 9 0.2 0.8 50.0 33.3 100.0 -1.79 174.4 58.3
Nick Arenz Nick Arenz F-C 16 6.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.5 -3 10 -0.3 -3.1 66.7 0 0 -1.37 216.7 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG