Grambling
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 724 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 844 (#274) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 975 (#194) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.4 (#310) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.2 (#297) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.190 (#297) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.083 (#311) | AdjNet -20.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.079 (#311) | AdjNet -21.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.232 (#310) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.370 (#277) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.222 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.246 (#289) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 799 (#284) | RD 139 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Georgetown | L | 46 - 99 |
| 2002-11-24 | @ | Oregon | L | 52 - 97 |
| 2002-11-25 | N | Jacksonville | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2002-12-18 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 54 - 83 |
| 2002-12-20 | @ | California | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2002-12-21 | N | Detroit Mercy | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Marquette | L | 74 - 105 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Texas Christian | L | 84 - 103 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Alabama A&M | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2003-01-06 | @ | Alabama State | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Southern | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2003-01-13 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Prairie View A&M | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2003-01-20 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 44 - 87 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Jackson State | W | 97 - 95 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 99 - 63 |
| 2003-02-03 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Southern | L | 68 - 87 |
| 2003-02-10 | @ | Alcorn State | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Prairie View A&M | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2003-02-17 | vs | Texas Southern | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Jackson State | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2003-03-03 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | W | 99 - 92 |
| 2003-03-06 | vs | Alabama A&M | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2003-03-08 | vs | Alabama State | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2003-03-11 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 78 - 90 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.