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Grambling

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 772 (#250) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 864 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 953 (#207) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -9.3 (#242) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -7.8 (#229) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.392 (#191) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.0 More โ†’ 0.201 (#235) AdjNet -12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.198 (#235) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 79.9 More โ†’ 0.315 (#243) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 79.4 More โ†’ 0.390 (#225) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 79.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.304 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.318 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 23 More โ†’ 839 (#238) RD 142 | GP 23

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-05 vs Southeastern Louisiana L 66 - 72
1992-12-08 @ Little Rock L 59 - 70
1992-12-14 @ Southeastern Louisiana L 69 - 72
1992-12-21 @ UCF W 85 - 81
1992-12-22 N Northeastern W 94 - 83
1992-12-29 vs Little Rock L 63 - 75
1993-01-09 @ Southern L 73 - 107
1993-01-11 @ Alcorn State L 83 - 86
1993-01-13 vs Centenary (LA) W 89 - 86
1993-01-16 vs Prairie View A&M W 103 - 83
1993-01-18 vs Texas Southern L 69 - 71
1993-01-23 @ Jackson State L 75 - 91
1993-01-25 @ Alabama State L 74 - 90
1993-01-30 vs Mississippi Valley State W 86 - 69
1993-02-03 @ Centenary (LA) W 106 - 85
1993-02-06 vs Southern L 84 - 91
1993-02-08 vs Alcorn State W 87 - 74
1993-02-13 @ Prairie View A&M W 89 - 87
1993-02-15 @ Texas Southern L 82 - 98
1993-02-20 vs Jackson State L 76 - 89
1993-02-22 vs Alabama State W 95 - 91
1993-02-27 @ Mississippi Valley State L 82 - 97
1993-03-11 N Southern L 91 - 105

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.