Grambling
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 772 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 864 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 953 (#207) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.3 (#242) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.8 (#229) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.392 (#191) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.201 (#235) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.198 (#235) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.315 (#243) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.390 (#225) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.304 (#229) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.318 (#230) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 839 (#238) | RD 142 | GP 23 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-05 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 66 - 72 |
| 1992-12-08 | @ | Little Rock | L | 59 - 70 |
| 1992-12-14 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1992-12-21 | @ | UCF | W | 85 - 81 |
| 1992-12-22 | N | Northeastern | W | 94 - 83 |
| 1992-12-29 | vs | Little Rock | L | 63 - 75 |
| 1993-01-09 | @ | Southern | L | 73 - 107 |
| 1993-01-11 | @ | Alcorn State | L | 83 - 86 |
| 1993-01-13 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 89 - 86 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 103 - 83 |
| 1993-01-18 | vs | Texas Southern | L | 69 - 71 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | Jackson State | L | 75 - 91 |
| 1993-01-25 | @ | Alabama State | L | 74 - 90 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 86 - 69 |
| 1993-02-03 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 106 - 85 |
| 1993-02-06 | vs | Southern | L | 84 - 91 |
| 1993-02-08 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Prairie View A&M | W | 89 - 87 |
| 1993-02-15 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 82 - 98 |
| 1993-02-20 | vs | Jackson State | L | 76 - 89 |
| 1993-02-22 | vs | Alabama State | W | 95 - 91 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 82 - 97 |
| 1993-03-11 | N | Southern | L | 91 - 105 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.