Graceland (IA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 983 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#338) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#458) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#386) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.008 (#635) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.037 (#426) | NetEff -25.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.121 (#578) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.128 (#574) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.249 (#593) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.482 (#412) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.453 (#399) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#395) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 923 (#336) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 52 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ianara Morbidoni | - | 1 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 60.6 | 50.0 |
| Angelique Taylor | - | 1 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.81 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Oliviya Tinoco | - | 1 | 31.5 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sophia Rodriguez | - | 1 | 11.3 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Sariah Bradley | - | 1 | 30.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Nateonia Russell | - | 1 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 39.6 | 40.0 |
| Bryanna Griffiths | - | 1 | 15.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brooklyn Davis | - | 1 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kayla Smolley | - | 1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG