Grace Christian (MI)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1099 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1058 (#224) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#309) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1012 (#356) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#208) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -42.8 (#414) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.8 (#471) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.648 (#380) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.138 (#613) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#77) | NetEff +26.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.515 (#378) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#748) | AdjNet -79.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.507 (#378) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#748) | AdjNet -85.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#376) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.010 (#750) | AdjO 31.5 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.460 (#450) | AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#430) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#423) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1024 (#278) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-17 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | Fredonia | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-23 | @ | Franciscan | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Waynesburg | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-09 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Thomas More | L | 37 - 95 |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | Alma | L | 56 - 75 |
| 2015-12-31 | @ | Kalamazoo | L | 43 - 51 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Geneva | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2016-01-06 | @ | Westminster (PA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2016-01-13 | vs | Chatham | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Thiel | W | 67 - 45 |
| 2016-01-20 | @ | Bethany (WV) | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Thomas More | L | 37 - 92 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Waynesburg | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Geneva | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Chatham | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 41 - 55 |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Thiel | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2016-02-24 | vs | Saint Vincent | L | 44 - 56 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.