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Georgia Tech

Also known as: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Georgia Tech
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1210 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1106 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More β†’ 1024 (#130) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More β†’ +11.2 (#42) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More β†’ +10.5 (#46) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.664 (#77) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.4 More β†’ 0.868 (#44) AdjNet +16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.5 More β†’ 0.871 (#44) AdjNet +16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 64.2 More β†’ 0.716 (#40) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 65.9 More β†’ 0.640 (#49) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.729 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.715 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 31 More β†’ 1120 (#78) RD 97 | GP 31

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-23 vs Arkansas–Pine Bluff W 113 - 75
2002-11-27 vs Georgia W 83 - 77
2002-12-01 vs Gardner-Webb W 75 - 53
2002-12-04 @ Minnesota L 63 - 64
2002-12-07 N Marist W 67 - 53
2002-12-15 vs Tennessee L 69 - 70
2002-12-17 vs Troy W 88 - 66
2002-12-21 @ Syracuse L 65 - 92
2002-12-29 @ Maryland L 77 - 84
2003-01-02 @ Tulane L 66 - 80
2003-01-08 vs Cornell W 81 - 55
2003-01-11 vs NC State W 85 - 61
2003-01-14 vs Florida State W 81 - 74
2003-01-19 @ Wake Forest L 66 - 73
2003-01-22 vs Elon W 66 - 47
2003-01-25 @ Duke L 71 - 91
2003-01-29 vs North Carolina W 88 - 68
2003-02-01 vs Virginia W 80 - 60
2003-02-05 @ Clemson L 67 - 69
2003-02-09 vs Maryland W 90 - 84
2003-02-12 @ NC State L 57 - 63
2003-02-15 @ Florida State L 64 - 71
2003-02-20 vs Wake Forest L 67 - 75
2003-02-26 vs Duke L 58 - 77
2003-03-01 @ North Carolina L 66 - 67
2003-03-05 @ Virginia W 90 - 73
2003-03-08 vs Clemson W 66 - 56
2003-03-14 @ NC State L 65 - 71
2003-03-19 vs Ohio State W 72 - 58
2003-03-24 @ Iowa W 79 - 78
2003-03-26 @ Texas Tech L 72 - 80

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.