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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2007 Team Stats (2 games)

65.5
PPG
85.0
Opp
-19.5
Margin
42.5%
FG%
25.9%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
34.0
RPG
12.0
APG
20.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.8
Adj PPG
70.6
Adj Opp PPG
#256
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 906 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 901 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 948 (#238) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -7.0 (#250) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -5.1 (#227) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.219 (#291) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.9 More โ†’ 0.263 (#232) AdjNet -8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.0 More โ†’ 0.260 (#233) AdjNet -9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.350 (#256) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.391 (#260) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.349 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.357 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 31 More โ†’ 916 (#215) RD 148 | GP 31

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-11 vs Charleston Cougars L 66 - 72
2006-11-16 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 74 - 103
2006-11-19 vs Winston Salem Rams W 94 - 87
2006-11-21 vs Alabama State Hornets W 70 - 59
2006-11-25 @ Charlotte 49ers L 63 - 72
2006-11-30 vs Savannah State Tigers W 70 - 60
2006-12-02 @ Hofstra Pride L 59 - 62
2006-12-07 vs Florida State Seminoles L 55 - 87
2006-12-16 @ Alabama State Hornets W 64 - 56
2006-12-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 59 - 101
2006-12-31 @ Clemson Tigers L 57 - 67
2007-01-03 vs Drexel Dragons L 55 - 61
2007-01-06 vs Towson Tigers W 87 - 81
2007-01-08 vs William & Mary Tribe L 43 - 57
2007-01-10 @ Northeastern Huskies L 69 - 84
2007-01-13 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 59 - 54
2007-01-17 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 61 - 44
2007-01-20 vs James Madison Dukes L 52 - 59
2007-01-24 vs Hofstra Pride L 63 - 76
2007-01-27 @ William & Mary Tribe L 65 - 81
2007-01-29 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 57 - 92
2007-01-31 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 72 - 60
2007-02-03 @ VCU Rams L 71 - 100
2007-02-07 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 55 - 68
2007-02-10 @ Towson Tigers L 65 - 92
2007-02-14 vs Northeastern Huskies W 71 - 65
2007-02-17 vs Elon Phoenix W 63 - 53
2007-02-20 @ George Mason Patriots L 54 - 60
2007-02-24 vs VCU Rams L 70 - 72
2007-03-02 @ William & Mary Tribe W 70 - 68
2007-03-03 @ VCU Rams L 60 - 73

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.