๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1103 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1097 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1085 (#53) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +0.5 (#153) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +2.1 (#127) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.636 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More โ†’ 0.492 (#156) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.4 More โ†’ 0.488 (#157) AdjNet -0.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.0 More โ†’ 0.527 (#146) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 70.1 More โ†’ 0.599 (#72) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.575 (#120) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.589 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1090 (#89) RD 120 | GP 30

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-24 @ Central Michigan L 52 - 76
2001-11-27 vs Charleston Southern W 67 - 56
2001-12-01 @ Belmont L 59 - 68
2001-12-04 vs Georgia W 83 - 78
2001-12-06 vs Mercer W 90 - 79
2001-12-12 vs Campbell W 85 - 71
2001-12-16 vs Mississippi State L 63 - 72
2001-12-21 N Saint Joseph's W 95 - 90
2001-12-22 N College of Charleston L 63 - 70
2002-01-02 vs Troy W 84 - 67
2002-01-05 @ Florida Atlantic L 77 - 90
2002-01-07 @ UCF W 92 - 84
2002-01-10 vs Stetson W 89 - 73
2002-01-12 vs Jacksonville L 72 - 84
2002-01-17 @ Jacksonville State L 75 - 81
2002-01-19 @ Samford L 59 - 63
2002-01-23 @ Campbell W 81 - 64
2002-01-26 vs Jacksonville State W 80 - 61
2002-01-28 vs Samford W 60 - 48
2002-02-02 @ Jacksonville W 81 - 75
2002-02-04 @ Stetson W 94 - 79
2002-02-07 vs UCF L 73 - 83
2002-02-09 vs Florida Atlantic W 76 - 71
2002-02-14 @ Mercer W 82 - 74
2002-02-16 @ Troy W 102 - 88
2002-02-21 vs Belmont W 71 - 69
2002-02-28 N Belmont W 82 - 79
2002-03-01 @ UCF W 82 - 64
2002-03-02 N Florida Atlantic L 75 - 76
2002-03-13 @ Tennessee Tech L 62 - 64

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.