Georgia State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 826 (#233) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 902 (#211) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#170) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.8 (#202) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.2 (#195) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.521 (#153) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.286 (#212) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.284 (#212) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.394 (#207) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.453 (#187) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.391 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 897 (#209) | RD 156 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 65 - 95 |
| 1993-12-08 | @ | Alabama State | L | 59 - 80 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Memphis | L | 55 - 66 |
| 1993-12-13 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 95 - 68 |
| 1993-12-15 | vs | Texas State | L | 73 - 79 |
| 1993-12-17 | N | South Florida | L | 70 - 79 |
| 1993-12-18 | N | Grambling | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1994-01-03 | @ | Mercer | W | 70 - 66 |
| 1994-01-06 | vs | Stetson | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | UCF | W | 72 - 63 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 79 - 85 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 60 - 69 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Florida International | L | 61 - 67 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 92 - 57 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Samford | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1994-01-31 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 76 - 85 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | UCF | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Stetson | W | 80 - 61 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 98 - 88 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 88 - 86 |
| 1994-02-17 | @ | Samford | W | 70 - 55 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Florida International | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1994-02-20 | @ | Florida Atlantic | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 71 - 76 |
| 1994-02-28 | vs | Mercer | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1994-03-03 | N | Samford | L | 57 - 78 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.