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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

1988-1989
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 955 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 922 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 975 (#168) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -5.4 (#199) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -8.6 (#237) HCA +3.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.361 (#211) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.326 (#196) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.324 (#196) AdjNet -6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 85.5 More โ†’ 0.381 (#207) AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 85.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 84.9 More โ†’ 0.355 (#249) AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 84.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.374 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.368 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 24 More โ†’ 940 (#181) RD 144 | GP 24

1989 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1988-11-25 @ UC Irvine W 109 - 84
1988-11-26 N Maryland L 62 - 69
1988-11-29 @ Auburn L 70 - 74
1988-12-12 vs Appalachian State L 84 - 86
1988-12-17 @ Mercer L 89 - 90
1989-01-05 @ Georgia Southern L 93 - 100
1989-01-07 @ Stetson W 90 - 82
1989-01-10 @ Georgia Tech L 86 - 121
1989-01-12 vs UTSA W 92 - 73
1989-01-14 vs Hardin-Simmons W 72 - 63
1989-01-19 @ Houston Christian L 92 - 101
1989-01-21 @ Centenary (LA) L 88 - 114
1989-01-26 vs Little Rock L 91 - 102
1989-01-28 vs Samford W 71 - 61
1989-02-02 vs Georgia Southern L 90 - 95
1989-02-04 vs Stetson W 75 - 69
1989-02-09 @ Hardin-Simmons W 75 - 73
1989-02-11 @ UTSA L 87 - 115
1989-02-16 vs Centenary (LA) W 82 - 75
1989-02-18 vs Houston Christian L 84 - 85
1989-02-23 @ Samford W 68 - 66
1989-02-25 @ Little Rock L 79 - 107
1989-03-04 vs Mercer W 94 - 76
1989-03-07 N Stetson L 63 - 106

1989 Roster

No roster data available for this season.