Georgia State
Model Outputs
1988-1989
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 955 (#174) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 922 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 975 (#168) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.4 (#199) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.6 (#237) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.361 (#211) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.326 (#196) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.324 (#196) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.381 (#207) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.355 (#249) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 84.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.374 (#206) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.368 (#211) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 940 (#181) | RD 144 | GP 24 |
1989 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1988-11-25 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 109 - 84 |
| 1988-11-26 | N | Maryland | L | 62 - 69 |
| 1988-11-29 | @ | Auburn | L | 70 - 74 |
| 1988-12-12 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 84 - 86 |
| 1988-12-17 | @ | Mercer | L | 89 - 90 |
| 1989-01-05 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 93 - 100 |
| 1989-01-07 | @ | Stetson | W | 90 - 82 |
| 1989-01-10 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 86 - 121 |
| 1989-01-12 | vs | UTSA | W | 92 - 73 |
| 1989-01-14 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 72 - 63 |
| 1989-01-19 | @ | Houston Christian | L | 92 - 101 |
| 1989-01-21 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 88 - 114 |
| 1989-01-26 | vs | Little Rock | L | 91 - 102 |
| 1989-01-28 | vs | Samford | W | 71 - 61 |
| 1989-02-02 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 90 - 95 |
| 1989-02-04 | vs | Stetson | W | 75 - 69 |
| 1989-02-09 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | W | 75 - 73 |
| 1989-02-11 | @ | UTSA | L | 87 - 115 |
| 1989-02-16 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 82 - 75 |
| 1989-02-18 | vs | Houston Christian | L | 84 - 85 |
| 1989-02-23 | @ | Samford | W | 68 - 66 |
| 1989-02-25 | @ | Little Rock | L | 79 - 107 |
| 1989-03-04 | vs | Mercer | W | 94 - 76 |
| 1989-03-07 | N | Stetson | L | 63 - 106 |
1989 Roster
No roster data available for this season.