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Georgia State Panthers

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

43.0
PPG
59.0
Opp
-16.0
Margin
25.8%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
63.0%
FT%
43.0
RPG
10.0
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.2
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#254
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 880 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 875 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 944 (#242) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -8.3 (#254) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -6.4 (#232) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.333 (#234) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.198 (#252) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.3 More โ†’ 0.194 (#251) AdjNet -12.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.333 (#254) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.422 (#221) AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.319 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.336 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 29 More โ†’ 901 (#231) RD 137 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Morehead State Eagles W 68 - 50
2016-11-12 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 59 - 69
2016-11-16 vs Allen Yellow Jackets W 96 - 58
2016-11-20 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 66 - 72
2016-11-22 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 62 - 59
2016-11-24 vs Penn State Lady Lions L 42 - 69
2016-11-25 @ American University Eagles W 59 - 58
2016-12-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 42 - 73
2016-12-15 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 57 - 80
2016-12-20 vs Akron Zips L 66 - 78
2016-12-22 vs Elon Phoenix L 67 - 84
2016-12-31 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 58 - 54
2017-01-05 vs Troy Trojans L 69 - 87
2017-01-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 47 - 77
2017-01-12 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 65 - 72
2017-01-14 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 63 - 72
2017-01-19 vs App State Mountaineers L 63 - 67
2017-01-21 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 67 - 73
2017-01-26 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 55 - 45
2017-01-28 @ Troy Trojans W 68 - 65
2017-02-02 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 87 - 35
2017-02-04 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 64 - 70
2017-02-09 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 69 - 48
2017-02-11 @ App State Mountaineers W 59 - 55
2017-02-16 vs Texas State Bobcats L 51 - 62
2017-02-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 64 - 59
2017-02-23 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 57 - 59
2017-02-25 @ Little Rock Trojans L 45 - 52
2017-03-04 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 63 - 62
2017-03-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 44 - 49

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Tyghter A. Tyghter F 2 19.0 8.5 4.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.5 4.5 - - - - 35.3 60.0 66.7 - 46.4 44.1
T. Holston T. Holston F 2 27.5 8.5 10.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 12.0 5.0 - - - - 20.8 0 63.6 - 29.5 20.8
K. Nichols K. Nichols F 2 15.5 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - - 58.3 0.0 0 - 58.3 58.3
J. Lewis J. Lewis G 2 28.5 7.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 8.0 1.5 - - - - 37.5 40.0 0 - 43.8 43.8
M. Ponder M. Ponder G 2 23.5 4.0 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 11.0 -5.0 - - - - 13.6 16.7 0 - 18.2 18.2
K. Henry K. Henry G 2 19.0 4.0 5.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 - - - - 8.3 0.0 75.0 - 25.8 8.3
K.K. Williams K.K. Williams F 1 28.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 - 17.0 20.0
A. Mitchell A. Mitchell F 2 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 -0.5 - - - - 20.0 0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0
T. Williams T. Williams C 1 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
J. Harrison J. Harrison G 2 22.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
T. Jackson T. Jackson G 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
H. Gerrin H. Gerrin F 2 12.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Miller-McCray S. Miller-McCray C 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG