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Georgia State Panthers

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2009 Team Stats (4 games)

63.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
42.0%
FG%
18.2%
3P%
67.7%
FT%
27.0
RPG
15.3
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.6
Adj PPG
62.8
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 884 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 925 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 901 (#296) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -1.7 (#185) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.0 (#213) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.528 (#156) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.7 More โ†’ 0.424 (#188) AdjNet -2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.6 More โ†’ 0.425 (#187) AdjNet -2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.471 (#184) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.428 (#221) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.395 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.387 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 30 More โ†’ 909 (#229) RD 137 | GP 30

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-22 @ Clemson Tigers W 82 - 75
2008-11-26 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 56 - 74
2008-11-29 @ Charleston Cougars L 49 - 51
2008-12-02 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 82 - 42
2008-12-05 vs Alabama State Lady Hornets W 83 - 42
2008-12-13 vs Winthrop Eagles - Preview
2008-12-15 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 68 - 58
2008-12-16 @ UAB Blazers L 63 - 72
2008-12-21 vs Delaware State Hornets W 55 - 50
2008-12-29 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 70 - 60
2008-12-30 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 69 - 57
2009-01-04 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 49 - 61
2009-01-08 vs Northeastern Huskies W 71 - 51
2009-01-11 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 55 - 48
2009-01-15 @ Drexel Dragons L 65 - 74
2009-01-18 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 46 - 62
2009-01-22 @ Towson Tigers L 67 - 71
2009-01-25 vs Hofstra Pride L 49 - 59
2009-01-27 vs Winthrop Eagles W 73 - 42
2009-01-29 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 75 - 62
2009-02-01 @ William & Mary Tribe L 68 - 82
2009-02-05 vs Towson Tigers L 54 - 61
2009-02-08 @ George Mason Patriots L 59 - 63
2009-02-12 @ Northeastern Huskies L 66 - 68
2009-02-15 vs Drexel Dragons L 53 - 72
2009-02-19 @ VCU Rams L 60 - 63
2009-02-22 vs James Madison Dukes L 62 - 63
2009-02-26 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 70 - 67
2009-03-01 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 51 - 62
2009-03-04 vs VCU Rams L 39 - 56
2009-03-12 @ Northeastern Huskies L 45 - 68

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. McKeller D. McKeller F 3 0.0 16.7 5.7 2.0 1.7 0.0 2.0 11.0 13.0 - - - - 54.5 0 77.8 - 61.1 54.5
C. Harris C. Harris F 1 0.0 12.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 9.0 - - - - 46.2 0 0.0 - 43.2 46.2
J. Williams J. Williams NA 4 0.0 11.8 3.8 1.8 1.8 0.2 2.0 11.5 5.8 - - - - 41.3 50.0 66.7 - 45.8 42.4
P. Mensah-Bonsu P. Mensah-Bonsu - 4 0.0 10.2 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.5 3.0 7.2 5.8 - - - - 51.7 25.0 71.4 - 58.3 53.4
M. Horne M. Horne G 4 0.0 8.0 3.5 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.8 8.2 8.0 - - - - 42.4 0.0 100.0 - 46.0 42.4
H. Favors H. Favors - 4 0.0 4.5 1.5 4.2 2.2 0.0 2.5 4.0 6.0 - - - - 31.2 0.0 72.7 - 43.2 31.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG