Georgia Southern
2009 Team Stats (3 games)
67.3
PPG
89.0
Opp
-21.7
Margin
38.6%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
34.3
RPG
12.3
APG
17.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.9
Adj PPG
77.0
Adj Opp PPG
#313
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 680 (#323) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 793 (#307) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 856 (#337) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -11.7 (#312) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -15.6 (#336) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.180 (#312) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.145 (#301) | AdjNet -15.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.141 (#301) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.269 (#313) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.265 (#334) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.189 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.189 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 737 (#324) | RD 151 | GP 29 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.