🐻⬇️🏀

George Fox

Also known as: George Fox
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1083 (#147) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1060 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1019 (#295) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +8.5 (#125) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +8.5 (#223) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.508 (#445) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.3 More → 0.976 (#108) NetEff +26.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.2 More → 0.571 (#338) NetEff +2.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.675 (#318) AdjNet +6.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More → 0.673 (#318) AdjNet +6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.586 (#312) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 57.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.635 (#191) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.660 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 1044 (#260) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 vs Corban - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Warner Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Chapman - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Whittier - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Redlands - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ East Tex. Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Howard Payne - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 vs Whitworth - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Whitman - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Pacific (OR) - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ Linfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 @ Willamette - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Puget Sound - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Pacific Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hanne Hopkins - 14 31.7 13.6 5.6 4.2 1.3 0.1 3.6 9.7 11.6 7 0.4 4.3 48.5 37.5 85.9 0.4 57.9 49.6
Kylie Ritter - 16 26.9 11.4 6.3 1.3 1.2 0.8 2.0 10.9 8.0 -5 -0.3 -1.5 37.7 25.9 80.0 -0.71 46.7 41.7
Mia Skoro - 14 27.4 9.6 2.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.9 8.1 4.8 6 0.4 3.5 46.5 45.5 63.6 -1.7 54.6 53.1
Sophia Hardy - 16 27.9 7.9 4.6 1.3 1.2 0.1 1.6 7.8 5.9 22 1.2 7.8 42.7 14.3 80.0 0.61 47.8 44.8
Tara Ushiro - 16 26.2 7.2 2.1 0.9 1.2 0.1 1.5 6.4 3.6 32 1.8 11.2 34.3 27.7 78.0 1.66 47.9 40.7
Paige Macduff - 14 21.9 5.7 4.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.2 4.6 6.6 42 2.6 18.9 49.2 16.7 40.5 2.05 49.2 50.0
Addison Dippel - 8 13.9 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.8 23 2.3 10.6 46.4 33.3 40.0 1.02 49.4 50.0
Bella Arrisgado - 16 17.7 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 3.3 2.5 18 1.0 8.4 43.4 27.3 91.7 -1.11 54.0 49.1
Madeline Schumacher - 13 9.7 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.1 37 2.3 24.7 40.9 33.3 66.7 0.95 51.3 45.5
Emma Boehm - 15 10.3 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.5 2.2 43 2.5 27.8 52.2 60.0 55.6 1.24 59.3 58.7
Sophie Carbajal - 7 8.5 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.7 0.4 8 1.3 8.2 36.8 0.0 0.0 -0.95 36.0 36.8
Maddie Schumacher - 2 9.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 37 2.3 24.7 0.0 0 50.0 0.95 26.6 0.0
Laney Snelling - 5 8.5 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.0 1.4 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.44 6.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG