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Gardner-Webb

Season: 2026 2023 2018 2015 2013
Also known as: Gardner-Webb
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1050 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 993 (#509) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.9 (#457) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.910 (#237) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.552 (#336) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.547 (#334) AdjNet +1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.523 (#338) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.480 (#456) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.469 (#429) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.478 (#428) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 312 | GP 1 More → 1106 (#168) RD 312 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-12 vs Brevard W 77 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jacob Hogarth - 1 31.4 23.0 23.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 35.0 - - - 71.4 0 50.0 - 69.1 71.4
Spence Sims - 1 25.6 13.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 3.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 0 - 65.0 65.0
Colin Hawkins - 1 30.9 12.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 71.4 0 33.3 - 62.2 71.4
Ace Talbert - 1 31.3 11.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 100.0 - 58.3 55.6
Curtis Williams - 1 32.6 10.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 63 6.3 39.4 20.0 0.0 85.7 4.84 38.2 20.0
Jamias Ferere - 1 7.3 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jacob Hudson - 1 20.6 4.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -61 -3.4 -41.4 40.0 0 0 -0.62 40.0 40.0
Cameron Gales - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Paul Lindberg - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ahmadou Ndiaye - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 108 5.4 32.2 0 0 0 1.53 0 0
Riek Riek - 1 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG