Gardner-Webb Runnin'
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 705 (#298) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 738 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 872 (#305) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.6 (#272) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.4 (#283) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.224 (#285) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.169 (#279) | AdjNet -13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.168 (#278) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.322 (#278) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.367 (#279) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.238 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.245 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 711 (#309) | RD 177 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Tennessee | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2002-11-27 | vs | Winthrop | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2002-12-01 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 53 - 75 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Colorado State | L | 63 - 90 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Clemson | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2002-12-19 | @ | Virginia | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Eastern Michigan | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2002-12-28 | N | Southern Methodist | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2002-12-29 | N | West Virginia | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Georgia State | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2003-01-06 | @ | Jacksonville State | L | 69 - 88 |
| 2003-01-09 | vs | Belmont | L | 86 - 103 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Samford | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2003-01-15 | @ | Appalachian State | L | 98 - 99 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Campbell | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Stetson | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Jacksonville | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2003-01-28 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2003-01-30 | vs | Troy | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Mercer | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2003-02-04 | vs | Florida Atlantic | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | UCF | L | 59 - 82 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Winthrop | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2003-02-14 | vs | Campbell | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2003-02-20 | @ | Samford | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Belmont | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | Jacksonville State | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Georgia State | L | 58 - 64 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.