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Ga. Southwestern

Also known as: Ga. Southwestern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 968 (#322) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 897 (#620) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.1 (#174) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -2.8 (#406) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.805 (#241) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.9 More → 0.627 (#237) NetEff +3.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.867 (#235) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.873 (#236) AdjNet +16.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.726 (#232) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.440 (#484) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.423 (#426) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.418 (#431) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 887 (#393) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs UVA Wise L 64 - 68
2025-11-15 @ Ferrum L 57 - 60
2025-11-19 @ Valdosta St. W 74 - 71
2025-11-22 vs Fort Lauderdale W 95 - 49
2025-11-25 @ Jacksonville L 56 - 77
2025-11-29 vs AUM W 81 - 49
2025-12-01 @ Clark Atlanta W 89 - 64
2025-12-03 vs Middle Georgia W 77 - 67
2025-12-06 @ Augusta W 59 - 54
2025-12-17 vs Clayton St. W 66 - 60
2025-12-31 vs Anderson (SC) L 73 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Georgia College L 51 - 61
2026-01-10 @ North Georgia L 68 - 70
2026-01-14 vs USC Beaufort L 66 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Columbus St. L 65 - 75
2026-01-21 @ USC Aiken L 60 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Middle Georgia W 70 - 66
2026-01-28 vs Flagler L 57 - 75
2026-01-31 vs Augusta L 54 - 71
2026-02-04 @ Clayton St. L 61 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mahkayla Premo - 1 35.0 23.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 15.0 -90 -6.0 -31.6 33.3 40.0 68.8 -1.13 52.2 40.0
Ray'ven Robinson - 19 31.0 15.2 3.9 2.6 1.0 1.1 1.9 11.9 9.9 100 5.6 30.9 45.4 32.8 73.5 -0.34 54.6 50.0
Mackenna Nix - 1 24.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 -82 -4.8 -29.3 40.0 50.0 66.7 -0.88 53.0 50.0
Shane' Jackson - 19 21.2 10.8 6.8 0.5 0.6 2.0 2.0 6.8 11.8 -8 -0.4 -2.7 70.0 0 56.1 -1.87 69.2 70.0
Madison Brittle - 19 32.6 10.6 4.3 2.1 1.4 0.1 2.8 8.8 6.7 121 6.7 33.2 42.9 32.8 61.3 -0.12 51.7 48.8
Kassidy Neal - 15 20.2 10.3 8.1 0.9 0.7 1.4 1.4 7.8 12.1 64 4.6 243.0 57.3 44.4 44.4 -0.82 58.0 59.0
Morgan McDermott - 1 38.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.0 -70 -4.1 -26.9 57.1 25.0 25.0 -2.85 57.1 64.3
Janiya Johnson - 19 21.7 8.3 3.1 1.6 1.6 0.5 2.6 8.2 4.3 16 0.9 6.9 35.5 26.0 60.5 -1.2 46.0 43.5
Ioanna Stefanaki - 1 21.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 12 0.8 4.8 50.0 66.7 0 2.68 66.7 66.7
Monique Emelifeonwu - 1 39.0 7.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 22.0 -133 -7.8 -35.9 50.0 0 83.3 -1.28 75.4 50.0
Zenia Palaska - 1 16.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 -36 -2.1 -19.6 33.3 0.0 33.3 0.03 34.7 33.3
Makenzie Kelly - 19 17.7 4.6 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 2.2 3.7 2.3 29 1.6 11.1 41.4 50.0 61.3 -2.23 52.6 49.3
Tiara Hozumi - 19 23.5 3.1 1.7 4.3 1.7 0.1 3.9 5.0 2.0 31 1.7 10.4 26.3 15.0 33.3 1.29 29.8 29.5
Hannah Simmons - 19 22.2 3.1 4.2 1.4 0.6 0.3 1.0 3.8 4.8 69 3.8 21.8 28.8 23.7 25.0 1.68 37.7 38.4
Nini Ovalles - 16 11.3 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 1.1 22 1.4 13.2 34.0 27.6 71.4 0.88 44.9 42.6
Destinee Nelson - 12 8.7 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.2 -0.2 -11 -0.8 -7.5 23.1 12.5 50.0 1.58 29.4 26.9
Nika Kurdija - 1 15.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 -48 -3.4 -19.1 0.0 0 50.0 0.06 12.9 0.0
Makaylei Snyder - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -18 -1.4 -16.8 0.0 0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Destiny Harman - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -55 -3.2 -32.0 0.0 0 0 -1.21 0.0 0.0
Amber Bing - 4 3.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -1.0 17 4.2 551.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.71 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG