Ga. Southwestern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 877 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 912 (#214) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 897 (#620) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.2 (#203) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.8 (#406) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.805 (#56) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.627 (#237) | NetEff +3.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.867 (#76) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.873 (#77) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.726 (#76) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.440 (#484) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.424 (#426) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.418 (#431) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 886 (#383) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ferrum | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | W | 95 - 49 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Jacksonville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | AUM | W | 81 - 49 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Clark Atlanta | W | 89 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Augusta | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Georgia College | L | 51 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | North Georgia | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Middle Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Flagler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Augusta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | North Georgia | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Lander | L | 46 - 62 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Georgia College | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | USC Aiken | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 60 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray'ven Robinson | - | 24 | 31.1 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 12.8 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 27.8 | 73.1 | - | 51.2 | 46.4 |
| Kassidy Neal | - | 20 | 21.4 | 10.2 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 10.3 | - | - | - | - | 53.3 | 44.4 | 46.9 | - | 54.4 | 54.5 |
| Madison Brittle | - | 24 | 33.4 | 10.1 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 39.7 | 32.1 | 60.6 | - | 48.4 | 45.4 |
| Shane' Jackson | - | 24 | 21.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 67.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 66.0 | 67.6 |
| Janiya Johnson | - | 24 | 23.5 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 8.1 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 34.0 | 25.5 | 64.9 | - | 45.0 | 41.2 |
| Makenzie Kelly | - | 24 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 34.9 | 35.5 | 67.7 | - | 46.2 | 41.3 |
| Tiara Hozumi | - | 24 | 25.7 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 33.6 | 17.5 | 33.3 | - | 36.7 | 36.6 |
| Hannah Simmons | - | 24 | 21.0 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 27.8 | 23.6 | 20.0 | - | 36.5 | 37.2 |
| Destinee Nelson | - | 16 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 14 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 29.4 | 21.9 | 54.5 | 0.65 | 38.5 | 36.3 |
| Nini Ovalles | - | 18 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 34.1 | 26.9 | 71.4 | - | 44.6 | 42.0 |
| Amber Bing | - | 4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG