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Ga. Southwestern

Also known as: Ga. Southwestern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 877 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 912 (#214) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More โ†’ 897 (#620) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -2.2 (#203) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -2.8 (#406) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.805 (#56) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.9 More โ†’ 0.627 (#237) NetEff +3.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More โ†’ 0.867 (#76) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.3 More โ†’ 0.873 (#77) AdjNet +16.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 61.7 More โ†’ 0.726 (#76) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.440 (#484) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.424 (#426) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.418 (#431) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More โ†’ 886 (#383) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs UVA Wise L 64 - 68
2025-11-15 @ Ferrum L 57 - 60
2025-11-19 @ Valdosta St. W 74 - 71
2025-11-22 vs Fort Lauderdale W 95 - 49
2025-11-25 @ Jacksonville - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs AUM W 81 - 49
2025-12-01 @ Clark Atlanta W 89 - 64
2025-12-03 vs Middle Georgia W 77 - 67
2025-12-06 @ Augusta W 59 - 54
2025-12-17 vs Clayton St. W 66 - 60
2025-12-31 vs Anderson (SC) L 73 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Georgia College L 51 - 61
2026-01-10 @ North Georgia L 68 - 70
2026-01-14 vs USC Beaufort L 66 - 74
2026-01-17 vs Columbus St. L 65 - 75
2026-01-21 @ USC Aiken L 60 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Middle Georgia - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Flagler - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Augusta - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Clayton St. L 61 - 62
2026-02-11 vs North Georgia W 61 - 53
2026-02-14 @ USC Beaufort L 55 - 67
2026-02-18 @ Lander L 46 - 62
2026-02-21 @ Georgia College L 60 - 65
2026-02-25 vs USC Aiken L 55 - 57
2026-03-01 @ Columbus St. L 60 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ray'ven Robinson - 24 31.1 15.1 3.6 2.6 1.4 0.8 2.1 12.8 8.5 - - - - 42.9 27.8 73.1 - 51.2 46.4
Kassidy Neal - 20 21.4 10.2 7.2 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.6 8.3 10.3 - - - - 53.3 44.4 46.9 - 54.4 54.5
Madison Brittle - 24 33.4 10.1 4.6 1.8 1.7 0.0 2.5 9.1 6.6 - - - - 39.7 32.1 60.6 - 48.4 45.4
Shane' Jackson - 24 21.5 9.3 6.6 0.5 0.6 2.0 2.0 6.0 11.0 - - - - 67.6 0 50.0 - 66.0 67.6
Janiya Johnson - 24 23.5 8.2 2.9 1.3 2.0 0.5 2.4 8.1 4.4 - - - - 34.0 25.5 64.9 - 45.0 41.2
Makenzie Kelly - 24 15.5 3.8 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.7 3.6 1.5 - - - - 34.9 35.5 67.7 - 46.2 41.3
Tiara Hozumi - 24 25.7 3.7 2.1 4.6 1.7 0.0 4.1 4.8 3.1 - - - - 33.6 17.5 33.3 - 36.7 36.6
Hannah Simmons - 24 21.0 2.9 3.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 3.8 3.8 - - - - 27.8 23.6 20.0 - 36.5 37.2
Destinee Nelson - 16 7.9 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.2 0.6 6 14 0.4 2.6 29.4 21.9 54.5 0.65 38.5 36.3
Nini Ovalles - 18 9.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 0.5 - - - - 34.1 26.9 71.4 - 44.6 42.0
Amber Bing - 4 3.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.44 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG