Frostburg St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1067 (#78) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1034 (#209) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#197) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.5 (#191) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.4 (#219) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.306 (#437) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.702 (#230) | NetEff +8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.425 (#449) | AdjNet -2.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.392 (#465) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.427 (#468) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 84.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#165) | AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 81.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.624 (#208) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1058 (#172) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 112 - 90 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Clarion | L | 94 - 95 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Shepherd | W | 105 - 83 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Kutztown | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 109 - 95 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Davis & Elkins | L | 94 - 108 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Concord | L | 83 - 97 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 94 - 85 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | D'Youville | W | 89 - 87 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | West Liberty | L | 94 - 117 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wheeling | L | 98 - 115 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 111 - 95 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Point Park | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 105 - 83 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 84 - 101 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Glenville St. | L | 67 - 92 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Concord | W | 94 - 61 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 95 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 85 - 96 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Montano | - | 8 | 31.0 | 25.4 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 16.4 | 23.2 | 3 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 56.5 | 31.6 | 70.0 | 1.64 | 62.7 | 58.8 |
| Trey Simmons | - | 21 | 32.5 | 23.4 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 16.3 | 11.8 | 11 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 49.1 | 41.3 | 80.1 | -1.86 | 60.4 | 54.7 |
| DJ Daniel | - | 22 | 28.4 | 15.9 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 15.5 | -57 | -2.6 | -13.0 | 53.5 | 38.0 | 71.4 | -1.85 | 64.6 | 61.7 |
| Mitch Finefrock | - | 22 | 30.5 | 13.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 44.3 | 41.4 | 86.1 | 0.47 | 64.7 | 62.3 |
| Kyle Whippen | - | 22 | 30.6 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 7.1 | 12.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 52.2 | 43.8 | 74.2 | 1.7 | 60.8 | 54.5 |
| Chase Whippen | - | 9 | 22.9 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 9.9 | 87 | 10.9 | 32.2 | 53.1 | 31.2 | 78.6 | 1.35 | 61.6 | 58.2 |
| Zane McCarty | - | 22 | 20.5 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 3.7 | -27 | -1.2 | -9.8 | 39.5 | 37.7 | 88.9 | 2.45 | 52.8 | 51.2 |
| Christopher Meakin | - | 21 | 15.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 41.4 | 27.8 | 79.4 | -1.2 | 54.8 | 45.7 |
| Cash Herndon | - | 3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -17.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.19 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Blake Burrows | - | 22 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 16 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 40.0 | 27.8 | 85.7 | -0.13 | 51.7 | 49.1 |
| Chris Cochran | - | 6 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 13 | 2.2 | 26.2 | 45.5 | 28.6 | 0 | 1.75 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Vilius Slanina | - | 19 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 35.9 | 26.3 | 30.0 | 0.45 | 41.5 | 42.3 |
| Max McFarland | - | 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brady Walters | - | 11 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -16 | -1.5 | -77.1 | 36.4 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.37 | 33.7 | 36.4 |
| Will Koehl | - | 6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.5 | -20.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.04 | 43.6 | 50.0 |
| Kyle Kovich | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -0.2 | 6 | 1.5 | 49.8 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.63 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Will Bonds | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aurek Fenn | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 4 | 1.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yannis Kiki | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte Long | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG