Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#260) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#307) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.9 (#503) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.075 (#542) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.382 (#471) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#466) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.464 (#449) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.417 (#441) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.300 (#469) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.320 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 962 (#261) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 50 - 64 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Comithier | - | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 18 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 38.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.68 | 52.6 | 42.3 |
| Solomon Oraegbu | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.8 | 26.7 |
| PJ Johnson | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -14.1 | 57.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Darius Yohe | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 26.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 6.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 42.9 | 0.31 | 54.6 | 57.1 |
| Owen Long | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | -15 | -2.5 | -7.3 | 15.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.54 | 26.0 | 23.1 |
| Atavian Butler | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaden Evans | - | 1 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -34 | -5.7 | -16.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Hildebrand | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Cael McGee | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyreek Robinson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 2.5 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG