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Fresno State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Fresno State Bulldogs, Fresno State
Program History
Coach: Justin Hutson

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

62.8
PPG
59.5
Opp
+6.4
Margin
42.7%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
64.1%
FT%
35.0
RPG
10.3
APG
12.0
TO
73.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1150 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1171 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1028 (#137) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +25.0 (#145) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +16.2 (#107) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.8 More → 0.581 (#98) NetEff +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.617 (#105) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.832 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.799 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 33 More → 1151 (#103) RD 101 | GP 33

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Fresno Pacific Sunbirds W 74 - 54
2021-11-12 vs Long Island University Sharks W 84 - 60
2021-11-15 vs Idaho Vandals W 69 - 62
2021-11-22 @ Pepperdine Waves W 70 - 63
2021-11-28 @ California Golden Bears L 57 - 65
2021-12-01 vs San Diego Toreros W 63 - 43
2021-12-04 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 61 - 43
2021-12-08 @ San Francisco Dons L 63 - 71
2021-12-11 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 63 - 55
2021-12-17 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 83 - 48
2021-12-21 @ Utah Utes L 50 - 55
2021-12-23 @ Weber State Wildcats W 69 - 43
2021-12-28 @ Boise State Broncos L 55 - 65
2022-01-11 vs San José State Spartans W 79 - 59
2022-01-14 @ UNLV Rebels W 73 - 68
2022-01-18 vs Utah State Aggies W 61 - 54
2022-01-21 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 73 - 77
2022-01-25 @ New Mexico Lobos W 65 - 60
2022-01-28 vs Boise State Broncos L 63 - 68
2022-02-01 @ San José State Spartans W 73 - 43
2022-02-04 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 73 - 56
2022-02-06 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 59 - 61
2022-02-11 @ Colorado State Rams L 50 - 65
2022-02-16 vs UNLV Rebels L 57 - 60
2022-02-19 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 44 - 61
2022-02-22 @ Air Force Falcons W 65 - 40
2022-02-28 vs New Mexico Lobos W 71 - 68
2022-03-03 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 64 - 65
2022-03-05 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 64 - 68
2022-03-09 vs San José State Spartans W 69 - 67
2022-03-10 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 46 - 53
2022-03-23 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 80 - 71
2022-04-01 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 85 - 74

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
O. Robinson O. Robinson - 14 32.6 19.2 8.1 2.6 0.9 0.9 2.6 5.1 23.9 - - - 50.0 50.0 48.1 1.42 160.3 54.9
K. Colvin K. Colvin F 1 25.0 12.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 -78 -3.2 -6.1 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
J. Overton J. Overton F 1 30.0 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 188 5.7 7.8 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
C. Baker-Mazara C. Baker-Mazara - 3 16.0 11.0 3.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 14.3 86 2.8 8.4 0 0 0 0.7 0 0
X. DuSell X. DuSell G 2 27.5 10.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5 195 6.5 9.5 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
A. Holland A. Holland - 13 35.2 10.4 6.5 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.6 2.8 16.4 - - - 35.1 16.7 78.6 0.82 156.4 39.2
I. Hill I. Hill - 33 33.1 10.4 2.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 2.5 1.3 13.6 224 6.2 7.8 39.5 45.5 72.7 1.14 325.6 51.2
T. Pulliam T. Pulliam G 2 36.5 9.0 1.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 189 6.1 8.2 0 0 0 1.31 0 0
T. Olison T. Olison G 1 36.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 19.0 50 1.5 1.9 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
J. Baker J. Baker - 5 24.0 8.6 3.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 2.0 0.0 13.6 122 3.6 11.6 0 0 0 0.79 0 0
C. Welp C. Welp F 1 32.0 8.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 46 1.8 2.7 0 0 0 0.41 0 0
J. Thomas J. Thomas F 1 16.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 -291 -9.1 -14.1 0 0 0 1.05 0 0
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 2 31.5 7.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 14.0 31 1.0 1.7 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
T. Taylor T. Taylor - 1 30.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 11.0 -72 -2.7 -3.6 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
J. Campbell J. Campbell - 33 22.9 6.9 3.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.2 9.7 153 4.2 7.8 42.5 9.1 75.0 0.85 263.1 43.8
J. Ballard J. Ballard - 10 19.7 6.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.3 6.8 27 1.2 2.7 30.8 20.0 66.7 0.07 213.0 38.5
C. Simmons C. Simmons G 1 9.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -47 -2.1 -6.4 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
L. Colimerio L. Colimerio F 33 24.7 4.9 4.5 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.3 10.1 193 5.4 9.1 70.0 100.0 75.0 1.49 688.8 75.0
C. Carlson C. Carlson F 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2 0.1 0.4 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
D. Stroud D. Stroud - 11 13.8 3.9 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.9 4.1 - - - 30.0 20.0 0 0.89 215.0 35.0
J. Tomaic J. Tomaic F 2 11.5 3.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 4.5 89 2.9 9.0 0 0 0 0.68 0 0
D. Whitaker D. Whitaker - 7 10.7 2.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.0 112 4.3 11.4 50.0 50.0 0 0.68 500.0 75.0
D. Yap D. Yap G 27 10.0 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.4 2.7 3 0.1 0.4 9.1 0.0 66.7 -0.1 223.6 9.1
Braxton Meah Braxton Meah C 17 7.4 2.0 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 3.9 10 0.3 1.5 0 0 0 -0.25 0 0
R. Vaihola R. Vaihola F 10 9.4 1.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 4.2 -4 -0.2 -1.1 100.0 0 0.0 -0.14 451.4 100.0
S. Vasquez S. Vasquez - 3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Kozak M. Kozak F 1 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6 0.4 2.1 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
J. Arroyo J. Arroyo F 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -25 -2.3 -11.6 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
I. Lee I. Lee G 1 15.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 95 3.8 8.7 0 0 0 1.27 0 0
O. Long O. Long G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27 0.9 3.5 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
K. Harding K. Harding - 6 3.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 7 0.6 5.3 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
M. Dhal M. Dhal - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.3 -14.1 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0
D. Esparza D. Esparza C 1 15.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -61 -3.8 -20.9 0 0 0 -0.88 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG