Fresno St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1231 (#22) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1197 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1034 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1172 (#28) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.7 (#115) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.7 (#217) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#65) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.896 (#184) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#19) | NetEff +54.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#38) | AdjNet +49.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.892 (#211) | AdjNet +18.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#43) | AdjNet +48.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.880 (#227) | AdjNet +16.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.940 (#46) | AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 50.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.724 (#235) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 57.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.662 (#111) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.772 (#122) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.771 (#118) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1205 (#42) | RD 76 | GP 69 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-08 | @ | Shepherd | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 85 - 86 |
| 2019-11-13 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | Catawba | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2019-11-26 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 58 - 47 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2019-12-09 | vs | Livingstone | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2019-12-12 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2019-12-16 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2019-12-19 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 39 - 55 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2020-01-06 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 68 - 38 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | Shaw | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2020-01-13 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 74 - 47 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Benedict | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2020-01-22 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 67 - 42 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | Saint Augustine's | W | 48 - 45 |
| 2020-02-03 | @ | Claflin | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ | Livingstone | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2020-02-13 | vs | Claflin | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2020-02-19 | @ | Shaw | W | 86 - 41 |
| 2020-02-22 | vs | Saint Augustine's | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2020-02-26 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2020-02-28 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 64 - 46 |
| 2020-02-29 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2020-03-13 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Preview |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.