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Fresno Pacific

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Fresno Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 912 (#424) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 913 (#525) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.3 (#215) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -3.6 (#380) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.309 (#435) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.7 More → 0.904 (#192) NetEff +19.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.466 (#429) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.476 (#429) AdjNet -0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.508 (#415) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.431 (#421) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.377 (#413) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#413) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 79 | GP 41 More → 903 (#357) RD 79 | GP 41

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Fresno St. L 51 - 88
2025-11-14 @ Bridgeport W 90 - 84
2025-11-14 @ Cal St. East Bay L 71 - 75
2025-11-15 vs Stanislaus St. L 50 - 65
2025-11-16 vs Post W 76 - 66
2025-11-21 @ UC Merced L 57 - 61
2025-11-22 @ Assumption L 70 - 115
2025-11-24 vs Cal State LA L 71 - 87
2025-11-25 vs Saint Anselm L 55 - 68
2025-11-28 vs Fordham L 72 - 74
2025-11-28 vs San Fran. St. W 87 - 71
2025-11-29 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay L 57 - 74
2025-12-03 @ Southern Conn. St. L 62 - 71
2025-12-04 vs Biola W 85 - 80
2025-12-06 vs Point Loma L 63 - 85
2025-12-06 vs Adelphi L 63 - 65
2025-12-10 @ Queens (NY) W 85 - 71
2025-12-13 @ American Int'l L 76 - 78
2025-12-15 @ Saint Michael's L 78 - 90
2025-12-18 @ CUI L 61 - 89
2025-12-20 @ Vanguard L 76 - 87
2025-12-21 vs Mercy W 92 - 75
2025-12-30 @ Staten Island L 76 - 80
2025-12-31 @ Goldey-Beacom L 88 - 105
2026-01-03 vs Hawaii Pacific W 84 - 72
2026-01-04 @ Pace L 46 - 78
2026-01-05 vs Daemen L 72 - 78
2026-01-05 vs Hawaii Hilo W 89 - 80
2026-01-10 vs Westmont W 73 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Bentley L 60 - 67
2026-01-13 vs Azusa Pacific W 68 - 64
2026-01-13 vs Saint Michael's L 72 - 78
2026-01-15 vs CUI W 66 - 55
2026-01-17 vs Saint Anselm W 89 - 85
2026-01-17 @ Westmont L 67 - 79
2026-01-20 vs Jessup L 81 - 86
2026-01-24 @ Menlo W 70 - 66
2026-01-29 @ Biola W 70 - 62
2026-01-31 @ Point Loma L 54 - 69
2026-02-05 @ Jessup L 73 - 81
2026-02-07 vs Dominican (CA) L 79 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Parker - 17 31.7 18.6 5.0 3.1 2.0 0.2 2.8 15.9 10.1 12 0.6 2.7 40.2 35.7 82.8 -0.26 53.3 49.4
Jalen Robinson - 1 31.0 18.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 11.0 95 7.3 310.6 50.0 33.3 100.0 0.21 67.6 62.5
Julian Williams - 1 30.0 18.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 13.0 21.0 70 4.4 50.9 53.8 100.0 100.0 0.18 67.0 65.4
Tre Powell - 1 21.0 17.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 15.0 103 6.1 30.8 66.7 50.0 100.0 0.89 93.6 83.3
Raymond Baka - 17 30.6 15.2 8.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 2.1 12.0 12.6 -67 -3.0 -12.4 52.9 23.5 66.1 -0.55 56.3 53.9
Justin Allen - 1 23.0 14.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 15.0 41 3.2 60.2 83.3 50.0 75.0 2.15 90.2 91.7
Seth Brown - 23 29.9 13.2 3.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.4 10.6 5.6 -25 -1.2 -5.5 38.5 37.8 84.1 0.98 55.8 51.2
Isaac Peralta - 19 28.7 11.5 4.6 3.7 1.3 0.3 2.1 8.5 10.7 -44 -2.8 -10.7 46.9 35.0 73.8 -1.16 55.3 49.1
Kayvontay Williams - 4 28.1 10.2 5.5 4.5 1.8 0.5 2.5 8.2 11.8 1 0.1 0.3 42.4 33.3 92.3 -0.32 52.9 43.9
Brandon Gibson Jr. - 21 18.6 9.6 3.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.9 6.6 6.6 -77 -4.3 -23.5 47.5 24.1 78.8 -2.35 58.0 50.0
Nick Davidson - 18 24.1 9.4 4.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 2.0 7.3 7.7 -1 -0.1 -0.4 43.5 36.8 77.8 -0.6 54.9 48.9
Harrison Pennisi - 18 18.2 7.7 4.7 0.3 0.7 0.5 1.1 6.9 5.8 -4 -0.2 -2.1 50.0 0.0 48.3 1.65 50.5 50.0
Enmanuel Ferreras - 11 17.5 7.6 3.2 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.6 6.1 7.0 8 0.6 4.5 53.7 0 57.1 0.14 55.1 53.7
Dylan Goodman - 17 21.3 7.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.8 5.8 5.0 -67 -3.0 -21.7 46.5 44.6 77.8 -3.12 60.2 59.1
Anthony Akande - 1 20.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 11.0 111 7.4 108.0 33.3 33.3 100.0 1.29 50.9 41.7
Logan Kilbert - 23 25.1 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 5.9 4.4 -1 -0.1 -0.3 34.8 29.0 80.6 1.1 50.4 45.6
Liam Switzer - 23 19.0 6.6 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.1 4.7 6.7 -83 -4.2 -33.9 63.6 0.0 62.5 -2.6 64.2 63.6
Beni Lavodrama - 17 16.3 5.4 3.9 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.2 6.2 4.3 -58 -2.6 -24.1 34.9 18.8 62.5 -0.59 39.5 36.3
Amar Hot - 23 15.8 4.4 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.9 5.4 1.2 -22 -1.1 -12.8 30.4 27.6 90.9 -2.11 39.3 36.8
Jalen Duff - 17 17.0 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.0 4.3 3.0 1 0.0 0.5 37.0 26.9 64.3 2.85 44.2 41.8
Erick Perez - 17 19.1 4.1 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.6 3.7 3.5 -41 -1.9 -11.5 36.5 30.6 92.9 -1.86 50.6 45.2
Grgo Katic - 17 17.9 4.0 3.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.9 3.6 4.2 -68 -3.4 -37.9 42.6 33.3 72.2 -1.34 49.3 45.1
Aaron Anene - 6 12.9 4.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 3.3 2.0 -17 -2.4 -31.7 40.0 16.7 70.0 2.25 49.2 42.5
Viktar Kachalouski - 13 16.8 3.8 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.2 -9 -0.5 -5.7 42.5 47.8 83.3 3.92 58.6 56.2
Hugo Gonzalez Garcia - 21 11.5 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.6 -49 -2.6 -25.3 32.8 32.5 66.7 3.06 46.0 43.4
Ryan Braam - 2 8.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 -3 -3.0 -61.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.54 133.0 150.0
Abram Potts - 6 7.6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.2 2.2 - - - 38.5 25.0 50.0 - 46.8 46.2
Gabriel Quiette - 23 14.6 2.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.1 1.7 2.7 -54 -2.7 -24.6 38.5 0.0 60.0 3.14 45.0 38.5
Loukas Jones - 21 10.0 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.4 -46 -2.6 -32.0 28.6 25.0 64.3 0.46 41.5 36.9
Zach Watson - 9 7.6 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.3 -30 -1.9 -18.8 26.3 14.3 75.0 0.83 37.7 28.9
Jaylen Wills - 12 7.8 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.7 -0.2 -60 -4.3 -70.2 25.0 33.3 100.0 -1.8 35.9 32.5
Micah Cole - 2 2.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Caelan Zeilenga - 4 1.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Fabrice Salvant - 3 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Tyler Parr - 6 1.9 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 25.0 - 28.4 0
Gavyn Cirricione - 6 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Adrian Vazquez - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Malachi Ficher - 2 4.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jalen Martinez - 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.01 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG