Fresno Pacific
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 979 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 916 (#412) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 913 (#525) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.6 (#251) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#380) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#435) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.904 (#192) | NetEff +19.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.466 (#429) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.476 (#429) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.508 (#415) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.431 (#421) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.377 (#413) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.383 (#412) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 902 (#360) | RD 79 | GP 40 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Fresno St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Bridgeport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Post | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Fordham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | San Fran. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Point Loma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Azusa Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Jessup | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Point Loma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Jessup | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Parker | - | 16 | 31.5 | 18.7 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 15.9 | 9.7 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 40.4 | 35.6 | 82.1 | 1.84 | 53.5 | 49.6 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.0 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Julian Williams | - | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 53.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.59 | 67.0 | 65.4 |
| Tre Powell | - | 1 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.15 | 93.6 | 83.3 |
| Raymond Baka | - | 16 | 30.9 | 15.4 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 12.1 | 12.8 | -67 | -3.0 | -12.4 | 52.6 | 26.7 | 66.7 | -0.86 | 56.1 | 53.6 |
| Justin Allen | - | 1 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 83.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 5.85 | 90.2 | 91.7 |
| Seth Brown | - | 22 | 30.2 | 13.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 10.6 | 6.0 | -25 | -1.2 | -5.5 | 39.3 | 39.0 | 84.1 | 2.02 | 56.7 | 52.1 |
| Isaac Peralta | - | 18 | 28.8 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 10.7 | -44 | -2.8 | -10.7 | 46.4 | 33.3 | 73.0 | -0.46 | 54.5 | 48.3 |
| Kayvontay Williams | - | 4 | 28.1 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 11.8 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 42.4 | 33.3 | 92.3 | -0.85 | 52.9 | 43.9 |
| Brandon Gibson Jr. | - | 20 | 19.0 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | -77 | -4.3 | -23.5 | 48.5 | 25.0 | 78.9 | -3.02 | 58.7 | 51.1 |
| Nick Davidson | - | 18 | 24.1 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 7.7 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 43.5 | 36.8 | 77.8 | 1.76 | 54.9 | 48.9 |
| Harrison Pennisi | - | 18 | 18.2 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 5.8 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 48.3 | 0.63 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Enmanuel Ferreras | - | 11 | 17.5 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 8 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 53.7 | 0 | 57.1 | -0.89 | 55.1 | 53.7 |
| Dylan Goodman | - | 16 | 20.9 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 4.9 | -67 | -3.0 | -21.7 | 46.3 | 45.3 | 77.8 | -1.39 | 60.1 | 58.9 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.96 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Logan Kilbert | - | 22 | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 4.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 36.4 | 30.9 | 80.6 | 2.01 | 52.5 | 47.7 |
| Liam Switzer | - | 22 | 19.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 7.0 | -83 | -4.2 | -33.9 | 64.2 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -3.72 | 64.8 | 64.2 |
| Beni Lavodrama | - | 16 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 4.4 | -58 | -2.6 | -24.1 | 35.0 | 15.4 | 62.5 | -3.15 | 39.3 | 36.0 |
| Amar Hot | - | 22 | 15.7 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 1.1 | -22 | -1.1 | -12.8 | 29.6 | 26.4 | 90.9 | -1.63 | 38.4 | 35.7 |
| Grgo Katic | - | 16 | 18.1 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 4.2 | -68 | -3.4 | -37.9 | 43.1 | 28.6 | 72.2 | -2.32 | 49.3 | 44.8 |
| Jalen Duff | - | 16 | 16.6 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 34.3 | 25.0 | 64.3 | 2.03 | 41.7 | 38.8 |
| Viktar Kachalouski | - | 13 | 16.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 3.2 | -9 | -0.5 | -5.7 | 42.5 | 47.8 | 83.3 | 2.64 | 58.6 | 56.2 |
| Erick Perez | - | 16 | 18.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 3.2 | -41 | -1.9 | -11.5 | 35.7 | 26.7 | 92.9 | -0.27 | 49.1 | 42.9 |
| Aaron Anene | - | 5 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | -17 | -2.4 | -31.7 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 1.32 | 48.7 | 40.6 |
| Hugo Gonzalez Garcia | - | 20 | 11.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | -49 | -2.6 | -25.3 | 33.3 | 35.1 | 60.0 | -1.83 | 46.4 | 44.7 |
| Abram Potts | - | 5 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.58 | 59.7 | 60.0 |
| Gabriel Quiette | - | 22 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.8 | -54 | -2.7 | -24.6 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 65.2 | -0.74 | 47.8 | 40.5 |
| Loukas Jones | - | 20 | 9.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | -46 | -2.6 | -32.0 | 28.9 | 26.9 | 64.3 | -0.8 | 43.0 | 38.2 |
| Zach Watson | - | 9 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | -30 | -1.9 | -18.8 | 26.3 | 14.3 | 75.0 | 1.3 | 37.7 | 28.9 |
| Jaylen Wills | - | 11 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -60 | -4.3 | -70.2 | 26.7 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -3.92 | 37.8 | 33.3 |
| Fabrice Salvant | - | 2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Parr | - | 5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 28.4 | 0 |
| Gavyn Cirricione | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adrian Vazquez | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caelan Zeilenga | - | 3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Martinez | - | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Micah Cole | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Malachi Ficher | - | 1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Braam | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -61.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG