Fresno Pacific Sunbirds
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 998 (#213) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#460) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.6 (#361) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.491 (#260) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.478 (#330) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.475 (#323) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#346) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Fresno State Bulldogs | L | 54 - 74 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Watson-Gayle
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Kendricks
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Nealon-Lino
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Maide
|
G | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Kirby
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Briscoe
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -22 | -3.7 | -24.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
S. Marantos
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Person Jr.
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -96 | -5.1 | -12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.35 | 0 | 0 |
A. Ferguson
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Heimerdinger
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Searcy
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R. Abbott
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
G. Cook
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Ray
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 129 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 |
G. Highstreet
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Holmes
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG