🐻⬇️🏀

Free Lutheran

Season: 2026
Also known as: Free Lutheran
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 923 (#438) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 990 (#490) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -41.2 (#699) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#753) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -61.9 More → 0.000 (#591) NetEff -61.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -48.4 More → 0.003 (#694) AdjNet -48.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -47.9 More → 0.003 (#695) AdjNet -47.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.0 | AdjD 83.8 More → 0.044 (#709) AdjO 50.0 | AdjD 83.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.351 (#575) AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 64.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.079 (#674) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.109 (#663) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 901 (#414) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-20 @ North Central (MN) L 44 - 97

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JoJo Rieschl - 1 37.3 11.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 5.0 - - - 16.7 50.0 60.0 - 33.5 20.8
Lydia LaFromboise - 1 35.8 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 -1.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Clara Rieschl - 1 37.6 9.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 3.0 - - - 8.3 0.0 70.0 - 27.4 8.3
Jessie Monsebroten - 1 20.4 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 60.8 50.0
Taylor Fink - 1 30.7 6.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 21.8 25.0
Isabelle Ritland - 1 16.1 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Moriah Coyle - 1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Grace Carlson - 1 17.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG