Fredonia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1031 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1086 (#174) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 948 (#565) | - |
| Margin | -2.7 (#223) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | -6.7 (#453) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.449 (#475) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.206 (#488) | AdjO 94.1 | AdjD 105.9 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.191 (#490) | AdjO 91.8 | AdjD 104.1 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.331 (#486) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.460 (#449) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.394 (#459) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.402 (#451) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.252 (#464) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 975 (#352) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Thiel | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Hilbert | W | 88 - 48 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Keuka | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Ithaca | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | William Smith | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Houghton | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Alfred | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Cortland | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | SUNY Canton | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Oswego St. | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Buffalo St. | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 53 - 57 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.