🐻⬇️🏀

Franklin

Season:
Also known as: Franklin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1175 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1126 (#71) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1005 (#402) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +17.8 (#42) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +8.2 (#230) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.6 (#360) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.745 (#335) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +48.5 More → 0.999 (#62) NetEff +48.5
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.7 More → 0.872 (#185) NetEff +13.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.729 (#305) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.4 More → 0.731 (#303) AdjNet +8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.612 (#293) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.675 (#151) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.516 (#363) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 60.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.754 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.521 (#366) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.751 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.493 (#392) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 23 More → 1169 (#89) RD 101 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.