🐻⬇️🏀

Franklin Pierce

Also known as: Franklin Pierce
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 929 (#351) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 904 (#438) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 899 (#530) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.3 (#237) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -8.4 (#443) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.154 (#508) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.7 More → 0.934 (#177) NetEff +23.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.1 More → 0.218 (#538) AdjNet -11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.1 More → 0.215 (#541) AdjNet -11.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 84.5 More → 0.305 (#553) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 84.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.331 (#517) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.331 (#438) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.326 (#451) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 6 More → 825 (#441) RD 144 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Southern N.H. L 74 - 89
2026-01-24 @ Assumption L 69 - 83
2026-01-28 @ Adelphi L 71 - 83
2026-01-31 vs Pace L 46 - 49
2026-02-04 vs American Int'l W 68 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Bentley L 73 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Parker - 5 32.9 18.6 3.4 4.4 2.0 0.2 3.8 15.8 9.0 12 0.6 2.7 43.0 38.1 75.0 -0.26 55.2 53.2
Raymond Baka - 6 33.7 16.0 9.2 1.2 1.0 0.2 2.0 12.0 13.5 -67 -3.0 -12.4 54.2 33.3 72.7 -0.55 58.8 55.6
Enmanuel Ferreras - 3 19.3 8.7 5.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 7.7 7.0 8 0.6 4.5 43.5 0.0 46.2 0.14 45.3 43.5
Kayvontay Williams - 5 17.6 7.0 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.0 4.0 5.2 3.8 1 0.1 0.3 57.7 25.0 36.4 -0.32 56.7 59.6
Zach Watson - 6 12.1 4.5 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.8 -30 -1.9 -18.8 55.6 42.9 80.0 0.83 66.8 63.9
Dylan Goodman - 6 17.5 4.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.7 1.7 -67 -3.0 -21.7 35.7 30.8 33.3 -3.12 42.6 42.9
Jaylen Wills - 3 6.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.3 -60 -4.3 -70.2 50.0 42.9 0 -1.8 68.8 68.8
Erick Perez - 6 24.4 3.2 4.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 1.5 3.5 3.7 -41 -1.9 -11.5 28.6 26.7 75.0 -1.86 41.7 38.1
Jalen Duff - 6 10.9 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.2 2.3 2.7 1 0.0 0.5 35.7 50.0 50.0 2.85 51.4 50.0
Viktar Kachalouski - 6 14.4 3.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.0 2.8 2.0 -9 -0.5 -5.7 41.2 42.9 50.0 3.92 50.3 50.0
Grgo Katic - 4 19.0 2.8 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.2 3.0 2.2 -68 -3.4 -37.9 41.7 0.0 50.0 -1.34 42.7 41.7
Beni Lavodrama - 6 12.7 2.5 3.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.0 -58 -2.6 -24.1 25.0 0.0 55.6 -0.59 31.3 25.0
Mahir Hrnjic - 3 10.5 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.3 -0.3 6 2.0 7.7 28.6 66.7 33.3 0.82 42.1 42.9
Jalen Martinez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Fabrice Salvant - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caelan Zeilenga - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devin Johnson - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.2 1.3 0 0 0 -0.52 0 0
Sultan Numanovic - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG