Franklin & Marshall
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1022 (#194) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1007 (#387) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.1 (#176) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.9 (#384) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.464 (#467) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.587 (#330) | NetEff +2.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.526 (#376) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.510 (#376) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.498 (#375) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#364) | AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 56.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.553 (#336) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.547 (#341) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1056 (#248) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Lycoming | W | 73 - 38 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Drew | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | York (PA) | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 61 - 43 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 51 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 61 - 35 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Neumann | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | McDaniel | L | 45 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Ursinus | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Dickinson | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | McDaniel | L | 44 - 54 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Salisbury | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Bryn Mawr | W | 71 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Neville | - | 18 | 32.6 | 16.7 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 14.1 | 11.3 | 92 | 4.4 | 19.3 | 37.9 | 30.9 | 80.5 | 0.53 | 49.6 | 41.3 |
| Breana Grim | - | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.42 | 70.7 | 65.0 |
| Shealyn Ricks | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 18 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 41.7 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.22 | 45.0 | 41.7 |
| Grace Masser | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -15 | -2.5 | -15.1 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | -1.13 | 79.9 | 75.0 |
| Kayla McCrea | - | 18 | 28.8 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 91 | 4.3 | 21.5 | 40.4 | 30.8 | 82.8 | 1.01 | 49.2 | 45.5 |
| Alyssa Dougherty | - | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -56 | -3.5 | -14.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.47 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Gia Sioutis | - | 18 | 24.6 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 45 | 2.1 | 14.3 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 47.4 | 2.38 | 39.0 | 37.3 |
| Lauren Rusas | - | 18 | 22.4 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 36 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 32.4 | 27.7 | 77.8 | -1.5 | 42.3 | 38.7 |
| Mackenzie Ward | - | 18 | 26.3 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 30 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 31.6 | 23.3 | 43.5 | -1.84 | 37.0 | 35.9 |
| Fiona Reckner | - | 18 | 16.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 29.2 | 20.8 | 86.7 | 1.11 | 39.2 | 34.8 |
| Hailey Cabanas | - | 18 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 10 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 25.6 | 61.5 | -0.52 | 39.0 | 36.9 |
| Gianna Modica | - | 18 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 38 | 1.8 | 25.7 | 34.5 | 29.0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 49.1 | 42.2 |
| Makenna Zimmerman | - | 1 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -10 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 4.23 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Olivia Shutter | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -16 | -1.0 | -3.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Alaina Neal | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -28 | -1.9 | -30.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lydia Powers | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -35.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.22 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Steph Sexton | - | 18 | 11.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 30 | 1.4 | 27.7 | 29.2 | 15.0 | 28.6 | -1.31 | 32.3 | 32.3 |
| Lian Aviles | - | 10 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 27 | 2.5 | 95.0 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.3 | 35.7 | 22.2 |
| Cleo Dallaris | - | 17 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 42 | 2.5 | 25.5 | 26.1 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 0.04 | 24.8 | 26.1 |
| Sam Lehman | - | 11 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 0 | -0.23 | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| Ava Snyder | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -43 | -3.1 | -36.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Timberley Linebaugh | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -24 | -2.0 | -44.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG