🐻⬇️🏀

Franklin & Marshall

Also known as: Franklin & Marshall
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1022 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1096 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1007 (#387) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.1 (#176) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.9 (#384) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.464 (#467) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.4 More → 0.587 (#330) NetEff +2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.526 (#376) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.510 (#376) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.498 (#375) AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 58.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 56.2 More → 0.515 (#364) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 56.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#336) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.547 (#341) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1056 (#248) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 @ Lycoming W 73 - 38
2025-11-13 vs Lebanon Valley W 72 - 49
2025-11-15 vs Drew W 67 - 62
2025-11-18 @ York (PA) L 52 - 58
2025-11-21 vs Lancaster Bible W 61 - 43
2025-11-22 vs Delaware Valley W 51 - 46
2025-11-25 @ Centenary (NJ) W 78 - 67
2025-12-03 @ Swarthmore W 61 - 35
2025-12-29 vs Neumann W 66 - 49
2025-12-30 vs SUNY New Paltz L 46 - 58
2026-01-10 @ McDaniel L 45 - 79
2026-01-14 vs Gettysburg L 58 - 69
2026-01-17 vs Johns Hopkins L 44 - 74
2026-01-21 vs Ursinus W 57 - 49
2026-01-24 @ Dickinson L 50 - 68
2026-01-28 @ Washington Col. W 54 - 47
2026-01-31 vs McDaniel L 44 - 54
2026-02-04 vs Salisbury L 56 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Bryn Mawr W 71 - 42

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lizzie Neville - 18 32.6 16.7 5.7 3.0 2.7 0.2 2.9 14.1 11.3 92 4.4 19.3 37.9 30.9 80.5 0.53 49.6 41.3
Breana Grim - 1 35.0 16.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 6.0 4 0.3 1.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 -1.42 70.7 65.0
Shealyn Ricks - 1 27.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 5.0 18 1.2 4.6 41.7 0 66.7 2.22 45.0 41.7
Grace Masser - 1 29.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 -15 -2.5 -15.1 50.0 75.0 100.0 -1.13 79.9 75.0
Kayla McCrea - 18 28.8 9.2 3.6 2.0 1.3 0.2 1.6 8.7 6.0 91 4.3 21.5 40.4 30.8 82.8 1.01 49.2 45.5
Alyssa Dougherty - 1 29.0 9.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 8.0 -56 -3.5 -14.3 33.3 0 50.0 -3.47 38.7 33.3
Gia Sioutis - 18 24.6 7.1 5.9 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.5 8.1 6.6 45 2.1 14.3 37.0 10.0 47.4 2.38 39.0 37.3
Lauren Rusas - 18 22.4 5.2 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.7 5.7 2.5 36 1.7 9.7 32.4 27.7 77.8 -1.5 42.3 38.7
Mackenzie Ward - 18 26.3 5.2 4.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 1.0 6.5 4.6 30 1.4 7.9 31.6 23.3 43.5 -1.84 37.0 35.9
Fiona Reckner - 18 16.9 4.2 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.9 4.9 2.5 19 0.9 6.1 29.2 20.8 86.7 1.11 39.2 34.8
Hailey Cabanas - 18 11.8 3.9 2.6 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.6 4.7 2.5 10 0.5 4.7 31.0 25.6 61.5 -0.52 39.0 36.9
Gianna Modica - 18 11.3 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.1 3.2 2.2 38 1.8 25.7 34.5 29.0 100.0 0.46 49.1 42.2
Makenna Zimmerman - 1 38.0 3.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 -10 -0.6 -2.2 20.0 0 50.0 4.23 25.5 20.0
Olivia Shutter - 1 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -2.0 -16 -1.0 -3.7 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.19 43.6 33.3
Alaina Neal - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -28 -1.9 -30.9 50.0 0 0 -0.3 50.0 50.0
Lydia Powers - 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -42 -3.0 -35.3 25.0 0 0 -1.22 25.0 25.0
Steph Sexton - 18 11.2 1.8 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.7 0.7 30 1.4 27.7 29.2 15.0 28.6 -1.31 32.3 32.3
Lian Aviles - 10 5.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.0 27 2.5 95.0 22.2 0.0 80.0 0.3 35.7 22.2
Cleo Dallaris - 17 8.3 0.8 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.4 2.6 42 2.5 25.5 26.1 0.0 16.7 0.04 24.8 26.1
Sam Lehman - 11 5.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 -0.1 15 1.4 21.6 7.7 9.1 0 -0.23 11.5 11.5
Ava Snyder - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -43 -3.1 -36.6 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
Timberley Linebaugh - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -24 -2.0 -44.6 0 0 0 -0.6 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG