Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1241 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1134 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1054 (#164) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.4 (#122) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.1 (#437) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.440 (#219) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#242) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#243) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.315 (#239) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.521 (#355) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.474 (#424) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.488 (#415) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1107 (#163) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Beloit | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Adrian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Penn St.-New Kens. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Saint Francis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Waynesburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Wheeling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Penn St.-Shenango | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Juniata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Capital | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Bethany (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Chatham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Waynesburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Chatham | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Allegheny | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Bethany (WV) | W | 91 - 88 |
| 2026-02-24 | @ | Allegheny | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 56 - 66 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.