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Fort Valley State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
Also known as: Fort Valley State Wildcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 996 (#325) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -10.2 (#644) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -4.3 (#408) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.485 (#290) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.392 (#397) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#391) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 903 (#463) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-01 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 63 - 76

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Pendergrass T. Pendergrass - 1 9.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Mitchell P. Mitchell - 1 19.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Cj Williams Cj Williams - 1 26.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 11 1.2 12.5 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
J. Reynolds J. Reynolds - 1 17.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 -45 -1.8 -7.1 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Chris Cosper Chris Cosper G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Whitehead S. Whitehead F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Q. Young Q. Young - 1 14.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG