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Fort Valley St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Fort Valley St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 872 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 757 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 851 (#651) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -18.3 (#284) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -13.4 (#545) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.306 (#210) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.1 More → 0.039 (#425) NetEff -21.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More → 0.156 (#265) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More → 0.152 (#268) AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.301 (#269) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.4 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.227 (#655) AdjO 54.4 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.164 (#619) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.170 (#627) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 784 (#475) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-17 vs Talladega L 65 - 71
2025-11-20 @ Tuskegee L 59 - 62
2025-11-22 @ Miles L 40 - 91
2025-11-25 @ Allen L 65 - 80
2025-11-29 vs Savannah St. L 66 - 72
2025-12-04 @ Spring Hill L 56 - 65
2025-12-13 @ Central St. (OH) L 63 - 66
2025-12-17 vs Lane L 49 - 72
2025-12-19 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 50 - 44
2025-12-31 @ Georgia College L 60 - 65
2026-01-03 vs Allen L 39 - 89
2026-01-10 @ Edward Waters L 34 - 72
2026-01-19 vs Clark Atlanta L 53 - 68
2026-01-22 vs Tuskegee - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Miles - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 vs Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 @ Kentucky St. L 63 - 79
2026-02-05 vs Kentucky St. L 60 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Central St. (OH) W 48 - 45
2026-02-11 @ Clark Atlanta L 67 - 87
2026-02-19 @ Lane L 50 - 63
2026-02-21 @ LeMoyne-Owen W 63 - 38
2026-02-28 @ Tuskegee L 52 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aaniyah Allen - 25 34.3 15.3 4.6 3.0 2.5 0.4 5.2 15.0 5.6 -130 21 -6.2 -7.4 35.6 23.3 77.7 1.01 45.2 39.6
Kimora Wade - 21 22.0 11.2 5.4 0.7 0.9 0.6 2.5 7.7 8.5 -42 18 -2.3 -4.3 50.9 25.0 63.6 1.89 56.1 51.2
Reya Johnson - 20 25.2 6.5 3.9 1.9 1.2 0.2 4.7 7.8 1.2 -169 17 -9.9 -15.7 30.6 21.3 45.8 -3.66 36.8 34.7
Marley Bell - 21 17.5 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 6.2 6.7 -23 20 -1.1 -2.7 34.4 28.0 71.4 2.69 44.8 39.7
India McIntosh - 25 21.2 6.0 5.6 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.5 5.9 6.8 -115 22 -5.2 -10.0 41.9 0.0 51.0 -3.15 43.9 41.9
Julia Baker - 19 20.1 4.0 2.5 1.1 1.6 0.0 2.6 4.9 1.8 -53 15 -3.5 -7.7 34.4 10.7 32.1 -1.97 36.1 36.0
Grace East - 23 23.7 3.6 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 1.6 4.9 0.8 -211 20 -10.6 -15.8 24.1 22.3 50.0 -5.74 34.9 33.5
Arieonna Booker - 6 9.2 3.2 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.7 3.2 0.3 - - - - 42.1 20.0 100.0 -1.73 48.9 47.4
Makayla Arnold - 24 15.3 3.1 4.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.5 3.4 -152 21 -7.2 -20.6 34.5 0 44.4 -6.47 37.1 34.5
Madisyn Ogburn - 25 19.4 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.3 3.0 1.5 -107 22 -4.9 -9.4 21.6 23.8 50.0 -2.39 34.7 31.8
Tiana Gongora - 12 9.1 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.5 1.0 -18 10 -1.8 -8.1 26.7 40.0 50.0 -1.23 40.9 40.0
Jewell Harwell - 5 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 - - - - 75.0 0 0 1.04 75.0 75.0
Jatiana Chambers - 5 7.3 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 2.4 -0.6 - - - - 25.0 0 0.0 0.04 24.1 25.0
Akirya Robinson - 15 12.7 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.3 1.1 -88 15 -5.9 -16.9 20.0 21.4 50.0 -3.33 29.9 27.5
Jalexicia Hargrove - 13 4.8 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 -29 11 -2.6 -19.9 40.0 0 25.0 -4.71 38.3 40.0
Haneefat Adanijo - 5 5.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.0 - - - - 16.7 0 0 -3.1 16.7 16.7
Delissa Kier - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG