Fort Valley St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 978 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 968 (#193) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1057 (#121) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#234) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.5 (#303) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.320 (#243) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#53) | NetEff +49.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.331 (#267) | AdjNet -6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.331 (#267) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.402 (#266) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.523 (#259) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.498 (#317) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.517 (#297) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1040 (#183) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Georgia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Kentucky St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Lane | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Morehouse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.