Fordham
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 683 (#305) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 696 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 797 (#326) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#281) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.0 (#277) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.101 (#317) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.196 (#267) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.195 (#263) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.297 (#288) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.296 (#313) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.208 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.208 (#304) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 674 (#317) | RD 152 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | William & Mary | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2002-11-25 | vs | Western Michigan | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2002-11-27 | vs | Siena | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Northeastern | L | 75 - 99 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Manhattan | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2002-12-11 | @ | Rutgers | L | 83 - 94 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ | Northwestern | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Fairfield | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2002-12-31 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 54 - 87 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Iona | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2003-01-05 | vs | Massachusetts | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Rhode Island | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2003-01-16 | vs | St. Bonaventure | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Temple | L | 51 - 82 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 46 - 79 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Xavier | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Rhode Island | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Massachusetts | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | La Salle | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Saint Joseph's | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Duquesne | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ | St. Bonaventure | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2003-02-23 | vs | Temple | L | 77 - 99 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Dayton | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Richmond | L | 53 - 60 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | George Washington | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2003-03-10 | @ | La Salle | L | 62 - 74 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.