Florida State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1220 (#48) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1097 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1000 (#154) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.0 (#60) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.5 (#46) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.581 (#121) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.792 (#66) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.796 (#66) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.676 (#61) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.619 (#65) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.680 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.669 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1107 (#83) | RD 133 | GP 27 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-01 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 110 - 59 |
| 1993-12-05 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 80 - 70 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | South Florida | L | 63 - 65 |
| 1993-12-18 | N | Florida | W | 69 - 59 |
| 1993-12-20 | vs | Morgan State | W | 90 - 67 |
| 1993-12-22 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 108 - 81 |
| 1993-12-30 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 94 - 76 |
| 1994-01-02 | vs | Lafayette | W | 105 - 87 |
| 1994-01-06 | @ | Virginia | L | 64 - 84 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 66 - 90 |
| 1994-01-11 | @ | Maryland | L | 74 - 80 |
| 1994-01-16 | @ | NC State | L | 70 - 78 |
| 1994-01-19 | vs | Clemson | W | 60 - 57 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Duke | L | 79 - 106 |
| 1994-01-26 | vs | North Carolina | L | 77 - 90 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 74 - 73 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Massachusetts | L | 58 - 62 |
| 1994-02-06 | vs | Virginia | W | 100 - 64 |
| 1994-02-10 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 69 - 77 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Maryland | L | 66 - 69 |
| 1994-02-16 | vs | NC State | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Clemson | W | 79 - 71 |
| 1994-02-21 | @ | Florida | L | 61 - 72 |
| 1994-02-23 | vs | Duke | L | 72 - 84 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | North Carolina | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1994-03-02 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | North Carolina | L | 69 - 83 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.