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Florida State

Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1220 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1097 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More โ†’ 1000 (#154) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +9.0 (#60) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +10.5 (#46) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.581 (#121) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.6 More โ†’ 0.792 (#66) AdjNet +11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.8 More โ†’ 0.796 (#66) AdjNet +11.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.676 (#61) AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.619 (#65) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.680 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.669 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1107 (#83) RD 133 | GP 27

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-12-01 vs Florida Atlantic W 110 - 59
1993-12-05 vs Bethune-Cookman W 80 - 70
1993-12-11 @ South Florida L 63 - 65
1993-12-18 N Florida W 69 - 59
1993-12-20 vs Morgan State W 90 - 67
1993-12-22 vs Mount St. Mary's W 108 - 81
1993-12-30 vs UNC Greensboro W 94 - 76
1994-01-02 vs Lafayette W 105 - 87
1994-01-06 @ Virginia L 64 - 84
1994-01-08 vs Wake Forest L 66 - 90
1994-01-11 @ Maryland L 74 - 80
1994-01-16 @ NC State L 70 - 78
1994-01-19 vs Clemson W 60 - 57
1994-01-22 @ Duke L 79 - 106
1994-01-26 vs North Carolina L 77 - 90
1994-01-29 @ Georgia Tech W 74 - 73
1994-02-03 @ Massachusetts L 58 - 62
1994-02-06 vs Virginia W 100 - 64
1994-02-10 @ Wake Forest L 69 - 77
1994-02-12 vs Maryland L 66 - 69
1994-02-16 vs NC State W 75 - 70
1994-02-19 @ Clemson W 79 - 71
1994-02-21 @ Florida L 61 - 72
1994-02-23 vs Duke L 72 - 84
1994-02-26 @ North Carolina L 75 - 78
1994-03-02 vs Georgia Tech W 71 - 68
1994-03-11 N North Carolina L 69 - 83

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.