Florida A&M Rattlers
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#303) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 948 (#759) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 869 (#574) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.4 (#442) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.7 (#340) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.391 (#527) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.320 (#420) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 757 (#576) | RD 144 | GP 30 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Adams
|
G | 30 | 30.6 | 14.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 15.7 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 34.5 | 36.0 | 70.8 | 1.22 | 305.6 | 42.2 |
R. Lewis
|
G | 30 | 30.9 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 12.2 | -31 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 32.7 | 39.1 | 75.0 | -0.03 | 309.3 | 41.8 |
M. Abdul-Aleem
|
G | 31 | 22.0 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 12.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -5.3 | 38.0 | 22.2 | 78.6 | 0.28 | 253.7 | 42.0 |
J. Bradshaw
|
F | 31 | 21.5 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 12.0 | -29 | -2.9 | -6.4 | 43.2 | 44.0 | 41.7 | -0.38 | 288.1 | 55.7 |
M. Teal
|
F | 31 | 23.0 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 11.0 | -136 | -4.4 | -8.5 | 53.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 304.2 | 53.3 |
T. Kellum
|
F | 31 | 21.7 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 9.8 | -105 | -3.4 | -6.4 | 40.5 | 0 | 64.3 | -0.52 | 225.9 | 40.5 |
D. Bullard
|
G | 20 | 20.7 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 7.3 | -68 | -3.4 | -6.1 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 77.8 | -0.17 | 347.2 | 50.0 |
J. Bush
|
G | 11 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 350.0 | 25.0 |
W. Davis
|
- | 31 | 20.3 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.6 | -23 | -2.9 | -9.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 10.0 | -0.38 | 306.5 | 75.0 |
O. Odi
|
F | 31 | 12.4 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 5.2 | -52 | -1.9 | -5.1 | 16.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.18 | 376.2 | 16.7 |
M. Fabiyi
|
- | 15 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 15 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.45 | 798.6 | 100.0 |
M. Badejo
|
- | 12 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 7 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 400.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG