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Florida A&M Rattlers

Also known as: Florida A&M Rattlers
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 948 (#759) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 869 (#574) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +8.4 (#442) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.7 (#340) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.391 (#527) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#420) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.317 (#444) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 30 More → 757 (#576) RD 144 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Adams J. Adams G 30 30.6 14.0 2.2 3.1 1.9 0.0 3.5 1.9 15.7 -11 -0.4 -1.0 34.5 36.0 70.8 1.22 305.6 42.2
R. Lewis R. Lewis G 30 30.9 10.5 1.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 1.5 1.6 12.2 -31 -1.1 -1.8 32.7 39.1 75.0 -0.03 309.3 41.8
M. Abdul-Aleem M. Abdul-Aleem G 31 22.0 9.2 4.1 1.3 1.1 0.2 2.3 1.6 12.0 -11 -1.4 -5.3 38.0 22.2 78.6 0.28 253.7 42.0
J. Bradshaw J. Bradshaw F 31 21.5 9.2 3.5 1.1 1.5 0.0 1.9 1.4 12.0 -29 -2.9 -6.4 43.2 44.0 41.7 -0.38 288.1 55.7
M. Teal M. Teal F 31 23.0 7.1 5.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.6 1.0 11.0 -136 -4.4 -8.5 53.3 0 50.0 -0.04 304.2 53.3
T. Kellum T. Kellum F 31 21.7 6.3 4.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.2 9.8 -105 -3.4 -6.4 40.5 0 64.3 -0.52 225.9 40.5
D. Bullard D. Bullard G 20 20.7 4.5 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.1 1.9 0.5 7.3 -68 -3.4 -6.1 44.4 100.0 77.8 -0.17 347.2 50.0
J. Bush J. Bush G 11 13.0 2.5 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.4 3.0 8 0.6 1.5 25.0 0.0 0 0.21 350.0 25.0
W. Davis W. Davis - 31 20.3 2.5 3.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 7.6 -23 -2.9 -9.1 75.0 0 10.0 -0.38 306.5 75.0
O. Odi O. Odi F 31 12.4 2.1 2.8 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 5.2 -52 -1.9 -5.1 16.7 0 50.0 -0.18 376.2 16.7
M. Fabiyi M. Fabiyi - 15 4.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.6 15 0.9 3.9 100.0 0 0.0 0.45 798.6 100.0
M. Badejo M. Badejo - 12 6.7 1.3 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.1 7 0.6 2.3 50.0 0 0 0.14 400.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG