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Five Towns

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019
Also known as: Five Towns
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 951 (#464) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 876 (#522) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 973 (#568) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -28.3 (#748) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.071 (#752) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -40.8 More → 0.008 (#778) AdjNet -40.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -41.2 More → 0.008 (#778) AdjNet -41.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 90.3 More → 0.061 (#776) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 90.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.387 (#593) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 77.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.177 (#687) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.214 (#661) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 348 | GP 1 More → 798 (#552) RD 348 | GP 1

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-12-01 vs Purchase L 72 - 83
2022-12-10 @ Centenary (NJ) L 73 - 101
2022-12-13 @ UMSV L 59 - 72

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.