Fitchburg St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 741 (#569) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 643 (#592) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 795 (#695) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -41.9 (#458) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -31.6 (#671) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.030 (#688) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.018 (#548) | NetEff -25.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.003 (#704) | AdjNet -50.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.002 (#700) | AdjNet -51.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.043 (#711) | AdjO 48.7 | AdjD 82.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.109 (#703) | AdjO 46.6 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#686) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.064 (#692) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 729 (#532) | RD 82 | GP 37 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | CCNY | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Albertus Magnus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Elms | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Mount Holyoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Colby-Sawyer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Manhattanville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Dean | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Gordon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Old Westbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | John Jay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Hunter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Lasell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Worcester St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Sarah Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Salem St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Anna Maria | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | MCLA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Framingham St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Worcester St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanell Smith-Akpan | - | 7 | 30.5 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 10.1 | 14.1 | - | - | - | 59.2 | 11.1 | 64.5 | 1.96 | 62.0 | 59.9 |
| Samyah Allen | - | 15 | 27.1 | 10.5 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 26 | 1.4 | 16.4 | 38.4 | 20.0 | 78.1 | -0.32 | 42.5 | 38.7 |
| Alexandria Walbroehl | - | 16 | 25.2 | 10.4 | 9.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 12.2 | 8.2 | 63 | 3.3 | 26.4 | 31.6 | 0 | 69.4 | 2.46 | 37.4 | 31.6 |
| Mia Simmons | - | 14 | 28.9 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 43 | 2.5 | 18.6 | 33.5 | 26.0 | 65.5 | -2.48 | 40.4 | 37.7 |
| Emily Tsiforas | - | 16 | 26.0 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 67 | 3.5 | 28.7 | 37.6 | 29.4 | 52.4 | -0.81 | 41.8 | 40.8 |
| Shyann Parker | - | 16 | 29.5 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 12.0 | 77 | 3.9 | 29.2 | 42.5 | 20.0 | 61.2 | 3.27 | 48.4 | 42.9 |
| Kyelah Smith | - | 17 | 29.5 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 8.9 | 2.7 | -226 | -16.1 | -112.7 | 32.5 | 14.3 | 60.0 | -3.97 | 39.9 | 33.8 |
| Kaelynn Tanner | - | 17 | 24.7 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.5 | -0.4 | -147 | -10.5 | -84.8 | 25.6 | 21.4 | 61.1 | -2.46 | 34.7 | 33.3 |
| Mary Keohane | - | 11 | 27.2 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 3.6 | -153 | -19.1 | -1165.7 | 29.1 | 27.8 | 57.9 | -1.97 | 38.0 | 35.9 |
| Samyeh Allen | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 21 | 21.0 | 21.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Monet Augmon | - | 13 | 22.9 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 4.1 | -120 | -9.2 | -75.3 | 28.7 | 7.7 | 64.4 | -0.26 | 36.9 | 29.3 |
| Brianna Amenta | - | 16 | 17.8 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 31 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 28.1 | 23.7 | 80.8 | -1.03 | 38.9 | 33.9 |
| Alexis DeSimone | - | 14 | 26.8 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 6.1 | 2.0 | -189 | -17.2 | -146.5 | 32.9 | 19.0 | 58.8 | -2.25 | 40.0 | 35.3 |
| Alana Henry | - | 12 | 16.7 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 8.8 | 28.0 | 23.1 | 65.2 | 0.97 | 35.2 | 30.0 |
| Avery James | - | 9 | 24.1 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 0.9 | -115 | -6.8 | -58.6 | 32.7 | 13.8 | 25.0 | -2.56 | 36.1 | 36.4 |
| Mikayler Patch | - | 17 | 27.8 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 2.6 | -248 | -17.7 | -104.1 | 21.9 | 11.1 | 58.3 | -5.27 | 24.9 | 22.9 |
| Allison Ntambwe | - | 14 | 11.4 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | -5 | -0.3 | -6.2 | 35.8 | 0 | 26.7 | -0.57 | 35.2 | 35.8 |
| Anitsy Robles | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 34.7 | 33.3 |
| Erin McNamara | - | 16 | 12.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.4 | -0.1 | -98 | -7.5 | -77.8 | 25.6 | 26.1 | 0 | -2.91 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Leyla Barrett | - | 7 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 7 | 7.0 | 60.2 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 0 | -1.15 | 23.7 | 23.7 |
| Anayah Lloyd | - | 16 | 14.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 23 | 1.2 | 21.8 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.85 | 18.2 | 16.0 |
| Nia Phillips | - | 14 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 12 | 0.7 | 32.8 | 21.1 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -0.72 | 32.1 | 23.7 |
| Aryanna Wilson-Barracks | - | 6 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 28.6 | - | 24.8 | 22.2 |
| Malaica Guillaume | - | 16 | 11.5 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | -123 | -9.5 | -62.1 | 8.3 | 0 | 61.1 | -1.74 | 23.5 | 8.3 |
| Madeleine Devin | - | 9 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | -16 | -1.8 | -27.4 | 8.3 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 20.5 | 12.5 |
| Julia Koprowski | - | 5 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.8 | 13 | 2.2 | 30.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| Kelsie Feingold | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -4 | -0.8 | -128.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Natasha Brito | - | 11 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -0.3 | -27 | -2.5 | -86.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Madeline Devin | - | 3 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -27.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Madison Dawkins | - | 7 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -43 | -4.8 | -221.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Layla Barrett | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 7.0 | 60.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Taneece Wooden | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Giselle Harris | - | 2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Hoffman | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ashley Hart | - | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG